inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 114 Excitement6.0 [619] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +17.4%
Philadelphia 76ers 96 Comeback1.2 [1014] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -29.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.050.03971%0.1700.001060%-0.05
Chris Bosh0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.120.060.011767%0.253-0.081191%0.04
Norris Cole0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.030.00771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.021165%0.121-0.0310%-0.01
Shawne Williams0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.010.01975%0.111-0.022100%0.01
James Ennis0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.01-0.02383%0.0700.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01383%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Justin Hamilton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.011100%0.0110.0000%0.00
Andre Dawkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00337%-0.002-0.06250%-0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.290,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.29,-0.3,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.26-0.06-0.031823%-0.146-0.15333%-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malcolm Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.024100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Brandon Davies0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.09-0.010.00982%0.173-0.09475%-0.00
Hollis Thompson0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.02-0.03862%0.092-0.0200%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01467%0.052-0.03475%-0.01
Alexey Shved0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.03-0.03455%0.082-0.083100%0.01
JaKarr Sampson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Sims0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.010.00945%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Tony Wroten0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.020.041164%0.114-0.131173%0.01
Chris Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.01462%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.04425%-0.033-0.0500%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.14-0.04-0.011041%-0.036-0.14250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.534.217.029.02.431.5143.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +15.3%
MIA +0.3%
MIA +5.0%
MIA +26.8%
MIA +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game14.414.115.1112.995.0104.2
season16.014.9102.494.3
opponent14.815.3103.4105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.314.614.614.214.4
PHI13.915.414.213.014.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers53550.470.030.44-0.061801814.114.7-0.6613.514.8-1.24
Shawne Williams61590.400.100.30-0.071621415.213.21.9113.914.4-0.47
Dwyane Wade68680.350.150.20-0.03135814.913.41.4613.814.7-0.83
Shabazz Napier42430.270.230.04-0.05117414.114.6-0.4513.814.4-0.59
Norris Cole58570.210.29-0.080.03612-614.414.40.0214.413.70.64
Chris Bosh68710.210.29-0.09-0.09108214.015.2-1.2014.413.41.06
Justin Hamilton14130.190.31-0.110.11315-1214.114.5-0.3912.414.4-1.98
Luol Deng60590.180.32-0.140.06414-1014.713.90.8115.112.82.27
Chris Andersen36360.130.37-0.24-0.05612-614.614.30.2313.314.5-1.21
Josh McRoberts23230.070.43-0.350.05117-1613.514.7-1.1415.813.62.22
James Ennis18170.030.47-0.45-0.03216-1413.414.6-1.2414.214.10.15
Andre Dawkins440.000.50-0.500.00018-1812.714.5-1.7211.714.2-2.46

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Johnson44440.05-0.550.61-0.033-212413.514.6-1.0814.814.10.65
JaKarr Sampson560.00-0.500.500.000-181811.614.2-2.6414.814.40.45
Brandon Davies5151-0.06-0.440.37-0.03-1-171613.215.0-1.8014.414.4-0.03
KJ McDaniels4646-0.12-0.380.260.18-10-8-213.115.0-1.9213.914.8-0.95
Malcolm Thomas4040-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-13813.614.4-0.8014.714.20.53
Alexey Shved3232-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-11415.113.71.4013.514.8-1.33
Tony Wroten6869-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-7-413.914.6-0.7814.813.51.33
Henry Sims5757-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-10-8-214.613.51.1214.813.90.84
Luc Mbah a Moute4140-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.08-12-6-615.013.51.5414.114.6-0.51
Nerlens Noel5454-0.44-0.06-0.370.15-202-2214.813.31.4813.815.1-1.31
Hollis Thompson6766-0.49-0.01-0.490.01-17-1-1614.713.01.6314.713.90.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 98, DEN 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,094.3%
IND 114, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.6%
WAS 96, CLE 830.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,093.5%