NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	8.7 [168]		MVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): +23.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Comeback	9.5 [83]		LVP	Kevin Love (MIN): -14.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.24	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.24	0.10	0.14	0.00	11	70%	0.29	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Eric Bledsoe	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23	0.07	0.17	0.01	13	58%	0.27	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.05
Markieff Morris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.06	13	83%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.07
Gerald Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	70%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.08
Ish Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.02	15	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.09	0.02	6	79%	0.06	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	7	60%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	16	57%	0.16	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.05
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.02	12	66%	0.15	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	15	45%	-0.01	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0.19,0.14,-0.15	-0.15	0.07	-0.23	-0.01	27	55%	0.08	3	-0.23	12	92%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	28.9	17.6	28.8	2.3	41.6	146.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +63.3%

MIN -19.5%

PHX +8.7%

MIN -0.5%

MIN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.1	15.4	15.1	125.7	118.8	105.2
season	14.7	14.6		107.7	107.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		104.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	13.1	16.0	11.0	13.1
MIN	14.5	16.2	15.3	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	71	73	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.15	28	-21	49	13.1	13.1	-0.02	16.1	13.8	2.27
PJ Tucker	69	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-7	21	13.0	13.3	-0.33	14.9	16.5	-1.53
Goran Dragic	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-1	9	13.1	12.9	0.22	14.6	17.9	-3.36
Gerald Green	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.52	-6	13	-19	12.6	13.7	-1.07	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Marcus Morris	47	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	3	1	13.1	13.0	0.11	17.0	14.2	2.76
Ish Smith	40	39	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.21	9	-2	11	11.7	14.0	-2.30	16.6	14.7	1.98
Alex Len	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	14.5	12.9	1.63	17.2	15.2	1.97
Markieff Morris	66	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	10	-13	12.6	14.1	-1.53	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Archie Goodwin	9	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	8	-9	9.3	13.5	-4.12	16.8	15.3	1.48
Miles Plumlee	31	30	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	15	-23	15.9	11.8	4.11	13.6	16.2	-2.55
Channing Frye	31	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	19	-31	14.6	12.4	2.20	14.8	15.7	-0.94

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	50	50	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.01	10	-17	27	15.8	15.1	0.66	14.6	11.6	3.07
Shabazz Muhammad	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	0	-7	17.8	14.3	3.46	11.5	13.9	-2.40
Jose Juan Barea	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	1	-9	18.2	13.9	4.29	11.1	14.1	-3.02
Kevin Love	83	82	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-10	13	14.5	19.7	-5.23	13.4	11.8	1.54
Kevin Martin	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	14.5	18.0	-3.51	13.8	11.0	2.80
Ricky Rubio	93	93	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	15.1	19.0	-3.88	13.2	11.4	1.86
Corey Brewer	80	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	1	-9	14.9	17.4	-2.47	13.5	11.7	1.80
Dante Cunningham	57	57	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.27	-19	12	-31	15.9	14.9	1.00	11.7	14.8	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.29,0.65,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.63,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0	90.7%
GSW 106, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	90.5%
IND 79, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.39,0.62,0.31,0.43,0.74,0	89.7%