inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 98 Excitement5.7 [701] MVPJosh McRoberts (CHA): +20.5%
Charlotte Bobcats 105 Comeback1.2 [1007] LVPAnthony Tolliver (CHA): -10.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.011068%0.113-0.06250%-0.01
Aaron Brooks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.000.031159%0.042-0.035100%0.03
Jan Vesely0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00445%0.0100.00333%-0.02
Darrell Arthur0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00850%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
JJ Hickson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00746%0.011-0.021070%-0.01
Anthony Randolph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05-0.00-0.030.021955%0.044-0.09667%-0.01
Evan Fournier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.030.02850%-0.012-0.07250%-0.01
Wilson Chandler-0.090,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.011333%-0.071-0.021100%0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.150.060.00794%0.2100.002100%0.02
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.150.05-0.01995%0.252-0.052100%0.01
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.020.020.030.000.021557%0.083-0.0612100%0.04
Chris Douglas-Roberts0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.02-0.02845%0.032-0.02475%-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01550%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.012350%0.033-0.06633%-0.03
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.0160%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.727.315.626.52.435.5134.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +42.7%
CHA +0.5%
DEN -3.2%
CHA +9.5%
CHA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHANBADENCHANBA
this game12.915.315.197.0101.9105.2
season14.015.7104.5102.4
opponent15.114.9103.1106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.012.812.211.012.9
CHA14.016.515.914.815.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Randolph1010-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-8911.413.1-1.7014.915.3-0.42
Jan Vesely2526-0.05-0.450.410.07-4-3-113.512.70.7816.015.00.96
Timofey Mozgov4242-0.11-0.390.29-0.110-7713.912.31.5914.615.7-1.08
Darrell Arthur1718-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-2-312.313.1-0.7716.815.01.88
Evan Fournier3233-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-2-313.212.80.4215.715.10.61
Kenneth Faried6465-0.21-0.290.09-0.15-2-5314.011.12.9615.115.6-0.47
Aaron Brooks5355-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.23-2-5311.114.9-3.8215.515.00.53
JJ Hickson4143-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.18-5-2-311.513.9-2.4716.014.81.23
Ty Lawson8686-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.32-2-5313.111.91.2514.917.1-2.13
Wilson Chandler6465-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-4-3-113.711.62.0215.115.7-0.60
Randy Foye7172-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.20-70-712.713.4-0.6215.015.9-0.84

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh McRoberts75730.440.060.370.2661515.514.70.7812.414.4-1.97
Kemba Walker89880.380.120.270.3034-115.016.9-1.9113.012.30.72
Chris Douglas-Roberts73720.360.140.220.3025-315.015.9-0.8713.112.40.68
Al Jefferson84820.360.140.220.3025-314.917.1-2.1713.112.20.95
Anthony Tolliver42390.280.220.070.058-1915.615.00.5712.613.1-0.56
Gary Neal66650.260.240.030.2316-515.514.90.6112.314.1-1.88
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist34340.150.35-0.200.0634-115.115.4-0.2413.812.51.35
Bismack Biyombo19190.140.36-0.22-0.0052317.114.92.1712.213.1-0.95
Luke Ridnour14130.120.38-0.27-0.0043116.915.01.9112.313.0-0.72
Cody Zeller19200.010.49-0.49-0.0216-514.215.5-1.3115.512.33.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.95,1,0.97,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 97, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,195.2%
ATL 95, NYK 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.89,0.91,1,195.0%
DET 111, BOS 1180.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,194.9%