NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	98		Excitement	7.5 [337]		MVP	Devin Harris (DAL): +35.9%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	8.8 [177]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -30.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.14	0.01	19	67%	0.30	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Thomas Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.07	0.05	5	73%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	60%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	2	33%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mo Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	9	39%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	5	-0.16	3	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.31	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.01,-0.31	-0.02	-0.30	-0.01	28	48%	-0.22	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.28	-0.01	6	71%	0.40	1	-0.04	5	60%	0.04
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.01	3	62%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	6	56%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	19	49%	0.08	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.04
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	13	49%	-0.08	4	-0.08	9	56%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.02	5	33%	-0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.7	31.1	16.5	25.4	2.4	39.2	145.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +2.9%

DAL +21.0%

POR -2.8%

DAL +24.6%

DAL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	15.1	103.2	108.4	105.2
season	15.1	15.3		109.6	109.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.9	15.2	15.2	17.7	16.0
DAL	12.4	14.8	16.1	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	15	16	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.17	-1	-4	3	18.3	15.5	2.74	14.4	14.4	0.02
Thomas Robinson	39	38	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-11	17	15.5	16.3	-0.76	14.8	14.1	0.68
Mo Williams	52	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.29	-10	5	-15	15.7	16.3	-0.67	13.2	15.7	-2.47
Dorell Wright	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	3	-11	20.4	15.5	4.96	11.6	14.7	-3.10
Robin Lopez	57	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-12	19	17.3	13.9	3.35	15.3	12.9	2.36
Meyers Leonard	12	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.23	-14	9	-23	16.6	15.9	0.72	12.5	14.6	-2.13
Wesley Matthews	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.58	9	-14	23	15.0	18.6	-3.61	14.7	13.5	1.19
Nicolas Batum	79	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.55	0	-5	5	15.4	18.6	-3.13	14.5	13.9	0.58
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	15.4	18.1	-2.71	14.3	14.7	-0.46
Damian Lillard	68	70	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.54	-7	2	-9	16.4	15.0	1.39	14.6	13.8	0.76

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	43	45	1.00	-0.50	1.51	0.45	19	-14	33	13.0	15.4	-2.40	17.9	14.2	3.67
Dirk Nowitzki	66	71	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.41	15	-10	25	14.3	14.4	-0.08	15.4	17.7	-2.34
Samuel Dalembert	57	59	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.46	12	-7	19	14.0	14.8	-0.81	15.9	16.1	-0.25
Monta Ellis	84	85	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.47	5	0	5	13.9	17.7	-3.81	15.6	18.8	-3.18
Jae Crowder	22	23	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.14	13	-8	21	13.7	14.6	-0.88	17.7	15.4	2.24
Vince Carter	46	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.43	-11	16	-27	14.5	14.2	0.32	16.3	15.7	0.63
DeJuan Blair	7	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	16.0	14.2	1.77	18.5	15.8	2.71
Brandan Wright	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	10	-15	14.6	14.2	0.33	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Shawn Marion	59	56	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	15	-25	14.9	13.4	1.56	15.7	16.3	-0.64
Jose Calderon	60	58	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.19	-11	16	-27	15.5	12.4	3.05	15.0	17.5	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 89, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	86.3%
SAC 100, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.58,1	86.3%
PHI 98, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	85.9%