NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	6.9 [451]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +19.9%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	5.0 [595]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -29.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.10	0.01	25	58%	0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Byron Mullens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Elliot Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	14	40%	-0.05	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.30	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	20	39%	-0.08	8	-0.21	4	75%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.02	20	63%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	46%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	51%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.05
Adonis Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.03	-0.02	10	37%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	7	0%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	28.2	16.4	23.9	1.8	34.0	132.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +15.4%

ORL +15.9%

PHI -10.4%

ORL +27.9%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.1	86.2	96.8	105.2
season	13.7	15.3		98.4	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	13.1	16.1	17.2	15.0
ORL	16.7	16.3	13.9	14.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	62	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	14.3	16.3	-2.01	16.8	12.8	3.98
Hollis Thompson	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-7	3	14.4	15.8	-1.41	15.9	15.0	0.96
Jarvis Varnado	30	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	12.9	16.0	-3.12	14.0	16.2	-2.16
Thaddeus Young	68	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.2	14.5	0.72	16.4	13.0	3.43
Michael Carter-Williams	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-2	-7	14.3	16.5	-2.28	16.0	14.3	1.77
Henry Sims	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-10	9	15.7	13.9	1.76	16.6	13.6	2.97
Eric Maynor	31	32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.26	-2	-9	7	16.5	14.3	2.28	14.3	16.0	-1.77
Elliot Williams	29	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	16.3	14.4	1.86	13.0	16.5	-3.43
Tony Wroten	49	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	1	-13	15.5	14.5	0.94	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Byron Mullens	29	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	1	-13	16.0	14.6	1.37	13.2	16.5	-3.34

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	65	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.21	21	-10	31	14.5	17.6	-3.14	15.2	14.7	0.48
Maurice Harkless	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-1	13	15.5	15.4	0.06	15.4	12.9	2.51
Kyle O'Quinn	39	38	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	7	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.07	15.6	14.6	0.94
Andrew Nicholson	21	20	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	9	-7	15.1	15.5	-0.40	17.5	14.3	3.21
Tobias Harris	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	0	11	15.7	15.0	0.65	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Ronnie Price	47	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	7	-3	16.1	14.8	1.34	16.0	14.1	1.83
Victor Oladipo	75	75	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	6	-1	16.0	13.5	2.41	14.4	17.4	-2.94
Nikola Vucevic	64	64	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	6	-1	15.7	14.9	0.86	14.2	16.7	-2.42
Adonis Thomas	18	18	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	20	-29	15.1	15.5	-0.42	12.7	15.6	-2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	93.4%
SAC 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1	93.1%
GSW 78, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.96,1,1,1	93.1%