NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	6.2 [548]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): +22.2%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	7.4 [225]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -28.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.02	8	85%	0.11	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.06
Wesley Person	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trajan Langdon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	61%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	13	54%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Chris Gatling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	-0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.01	10	35%	-0.10	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	11	89%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.01	23	67%	0.18	4	-0.11	11	73%	-0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	46%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dion Glover	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	14	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	30.2	15.7	29.0	1.8	36.2	140.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.5%

CLE -13.3%

ATL +13.7%

CLE -2.1%

CLE -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.5	108.5	115.1	100.9
season	15.3	15.4		98.4	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		101.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.2	14.1	16.6	16.6	15.3
ATL	16.5	14.7	14.1	16.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	25	24	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-10	15	14.6	15.6	-0.94	13.9	16.0	-2.15
Andre Miller	60	59	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-10	15	15.3	15.4	-0.04	15.6	15.2	0.42
Wesley Person	43	43	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-1	-3	15.6	15.1	0.42	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Matt Harpring	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-7	9	14.4	16.7	-2.36	15.6	15.3	0.34
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-8	11	14.8	16.8	-1.96	15.8	14.6	1.14
Lamond Murray	45	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-3	1	15.2	15.4	-0.16	15.8	15.2	0.65
Chris Mihm	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	8	-21	15.9	14.6	1.33	15.6	15.3	0.30
Trajan Langdon	51	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.6	-0.42	15.6	15.4	0.19
Robert Traylor	34	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	5	-15	17.6	14.0	3.63	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Bimbo Coles	34	34	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	5	-15	15.4	15.3	0.04	15.2	15.6	-0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	45	47	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-13	31	16.1	14.9	1.15	16.7	14.0	2.66
DerMarr Johnson	42	43	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-10	25	15.7	15.3	0.40	16.0	14.8	1.15
Nazr Mohammed	73	72	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-1	7	15.1	16.7	-1.63	15.7	14.0	1.68
Dion Glover	59	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	14.6	17.0	-2.36	16.3	13.7	2.57
Matt Maloney	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	-1	7	17.1	14.3	2.76	14.0	16.3	-2.36
Brevin Knight	59	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	9	-13	14.6	16.9	-2.27	15.6	14.9	0.75
Jason Terry	75	76	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	12	-19	15.9	13.8	2.03	14.7	18.0	-3.30
Lorenzen Wright	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	6	-7	14.1	15.8	-1.76	14.1	15.6	-1.55
Alan Henderson	37	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.3	0.47	14.0	16.2	-2.23
Hanno Mottola	18	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	14	-23	16.2	15.3	0.86	14.5	15.5	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.42,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.9,1,1,1,1	93.6%
PHI 81, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1	93.4%
HOU 110, DEN 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%