NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	7.0 [426]		MVP	David West (IND): +19.4%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	3.8 [778]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -19.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	15	64%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Trey Burke	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	9	73%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	10	59%	0.03	4	-0.12	9	56%	-0.07
Enes Kanter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	13	46%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	-0.00	16	32%	-0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.11	0.01	17	66%	0.23	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	16	52%	0.12	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.05
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.02	12	42%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	30.3	15.7	28.0	2.5	37.3	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -2.6%

IND +27.5%

IND +4.2%

IND +23.7%

UTA -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	14.8	15.1	101.1	103.3	105.2
season	16.2	15.8		102.1	102.7
opponent	15.2	14.8		99.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	16.8	16.0	18.9	17.0
IND	14.7	13.9	13.4	17.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	30	31	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-11	19	15.4	17.8	-2.40	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Richard Jefferson	35	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.15	9	-12	21	16.7	17.2	-0.51	17.3	13.1	4.21
Rudy Gobert	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-2	1	2.0	17.2	-15.17	1.0	15.0	-13.99
Diante Garrett	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-6	9	19.8	16.0	3.86	15.0	14.8	0.18
Jeremy Evans	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	17.9	16.3	1.59	13.6	15.7	-2.16
Trey Burke	66	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	3	-9	16.0	19.8	-3.86	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Enes Kanter	52	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	4	-11	18.3	15.2	3.10	16.1	13.1	3.06
Gordon Hayward	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	5	-13	16.7	18.2	-1.44	13.9	18.7	-4.78
Derrick Favors	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	3	-9	16.3	18.3	-1.97	15.2	14.2	0.90
Alec Burks	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.41	-7	4	-11	17.4	15.4	2.00	14.5	16.0	-1.56

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	77	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-10	23	14.5	16.9	-2.47	16.9	17.8	-0.90
CJ Watson	66	67	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-12	27	13.6	18.0	-4.36	16.1	19.5	-3.33
Ian Mahinmi	45	44	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-12	27	15.2	14.5	0.77	19.2	14.9	4.27
David West	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.23	12	-9	21	13.3	19.1	-5.77	16.0	19.9	-3.85
Lance Stephenson	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.50	-6	9	-15	15.4	11.2	4.21	17.0	16.8	0.27
Evan Turner	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	4	-5	15.1	14.7	0.37	18.4	16.1	2.29
Luis Scola	33	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	10	-17	17.2	13.5	3.68	18.3	16.3	2.09
Roy Hibbert	35	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	16	-29	15.8	14.2	1.61	15.4	18.1	-2.69
Donald Sloan	17	15	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	16	-29	16.4	14.5	1.87	17.0	17.0	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.63,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.0%
MIL 80, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	91.5%
SAS 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.83,1	91.4%