NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	96		Excitement	6.6 [494]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +6.8%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	2.0 [1077]		LVP	John Henson (MIL): -26.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.07	15	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	20	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	7	56%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	-0.00	4	0%	-0.11	3	-0.16	2	0%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	90%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
George Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	4	90%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	16	65%	0.15	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.01	0.06	11	75%	0.14	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	10	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	23.3	2.4	42.5	133.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +32.8%

IND +10.8%

IND +28.0%

MIL -23.7%

IND +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.1	104.3	108.6	105.2
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		99.0	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.4	15.6	15.4	13.7	15.4
IND	16.9	15.7	17.3	13.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Wolters	31	31	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-6	7	16.4	14.9	1.42	18.0	14.6	3.47
Zaza Pachulia	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-7	9	14.9	16.0	-1.08	17.0	14.2	2.81
Khris Middleton	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-5	5	14.9	16.0	-1.12	16.6	14.6	1.96
Jeff Adrien	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-5	5	16.3	14.8	1.51	14.5	16.6	-2.06
Brandon Knight	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.9	-0.76	16.6	14.4	2.27
Ersan Ilyasova	53	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	0	-5	14.8	16.3	-1.51	16.6	14.5	2.06
Giannis Antetokounmpo	41	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	16.2	14.8	1.45	14.9	16.3	-1.42
John Henson	44	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	2	-9	16.0	14.9	1.08	14.2	17.0	-2.81
O.J. Mayo	45	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	2	-9	16.1	14.7	1.41	14.6	16.8	-2.24
Ramon Sessions	54	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	14.4	16.8	-2.35	14.2	17.8	-3.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	67	66	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-12	29	15.8	15.6	0.15	14.9	16.6	-1.68
David West	62	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-10	25	16.0	15.3	0.69	14.9	16.4	-1.42
George Hill	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	0	5	17.6	13.3	4.25	16.3	14.2	2.06
Ian Mahinmi	26	28	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	-2	9	14.3	16.3	-1.96	16.9	14.7	2.18
Roy Hibbert	65	62	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	6	-7	16.8	13.3	3.43	15.0	16.2	-1.22
CJ Watson	41	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	5	-5	13.3	17.6	-4.25	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Lance Stephenson	81	79	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.38	-8	13	-21	16.0	13.5	2.55	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Evan Turner	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	5	-5	14.2	16.8	-2.62	15.9	15.0	0.88
Luis Scola	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	15	-25	15.3	16.0	-0.69	16.4	14.9	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,1	91.0%
VAN 91, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.92,1	91.0%
SEA 89, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	90.9%