inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 89 Excitement7.9 [275] MVPAnthony Tolliver (CHA): +20.1%
Charlotte Bobcats 92 Comeback2.1 [403] LVPAl Jefferson (CHA): -19.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.110.08-0.00692%0.1900.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.060.030.030.00760%0.081-0.021100%0.01
James Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.05-0.01275%0.123-0.064100%0.03
Kosta Koufos0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.002100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0-0.01-0.01-0.011542%-0.0000.00683%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.00422%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Courtney Lee-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.011337%0.001-0.041100%0.01
Ed Davis-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Nick Calathes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.050.002100%0.053-0.1200%0.00
Mike Conley-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12-0.05-0.050.021643%-0.072-0.06580%-0.01
Zach Randolph-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.070.011243%-0.063-0.10450%-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.090.11-0.01590%0.2000.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0,0.190.190.080.10-0.012062%0.354-0.1610100%0.18
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.170.17-0.010.18-0.001146%0.221-0.054100%0.11
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.00375%0.0400.0020%-0.03
Cody Zeller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.01647%0.051-0.033100%0.03
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01550%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00945%-0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.030.00725%-0.071-0.042100%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.15-0.05-0.011321%-0.162-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.52.730.814.826.01.838.0136.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -11.8%
CHA +39.3%
CHA +14.2%
CHA +8.7%
MEM -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMCHANBAMEMCHANBA
this game15.615.915.197.8100.0105.2
season16.415.7104.5102.4
opponent15.115.2103.1103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.613.918.114.215.6
CHA16.116.716.214.615.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Allen49490.20-0.700.91-0.0910-132314.417.0-2.6116.115.60.56
Nick Calathes3030-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-5715.515.6-0.1415.016.3-1.26
Kosta Koufos1617-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-3315.215.7-0.4217.115.61.52
James Johnson2022-0.21-0.290.08-0.15-2-1-115.115.7-0.6315.616.0-0.38
Courtney Lee6666-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-4515.615.50.1616.015.50.53
Zach Randolph6364-0.23-0.270.05-0.282-5715.216.5-1.2616.215.21.01
Ed Davis1211-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-52-718.115.22.8712.216.4-4.20
Marc Gasol7170-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.26-1-2115.715.10.6316.015.60.38
Tayshaun Prince2627-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-118-1916.815.11.7516.015.80.22
Mike Conley6163-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.34-52-715.615.50.1416.414.81.54
Mike Miller4141-0.690.18-0.87-0.51-63-916.215.11.0515.116.5-1.41

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cody Zeller34320.60-0.100.700.0419-163513.617.2-3.5917.814.43.37
Kemba Walker80800.54-0.040.580.376-3915.518.6-3.1115.814.11.71
Ben Gordon37380.370.130.240.225-2715.516.2-0.7016.215.20.97
Bismack Biyombo35330.360.140.230.225-2714.616.7-2.0715.515.7-0.17
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist35360.350.150.190.0510-71715.815.9-0.1816.914.72.14
Anthony Tolliver54510.270.230.040.30-14-515.815.9-0.1114.916.5-1.66
Al Jefferson57580.140.36-0.230.20-25-716.714.62.0715.715.50.17
Gerald Henderson58570.010.49-0.470.25-811-1916.315.21.0215.116.5-1.45
Jannero Pargo1211-0.040.54-0.580.05-36-918.615.53.1114.115.8-1.71
Josh McRoberts5859-0.100.60-0.700.37-1619-3517.213.63.5914.417.8-3.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 86, IND 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.83,191.1%
IND 93, ATL 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.78,0.83,0.92,190.6%
CLE 99, WAS 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,190.6%