inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 111 Excitement7.6 [321] MVPMarco Belinelli (SAS): +28.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 109 Comeback2.1 [428] LVPRobin Lopez (POR): -19.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.28,0.290.140.160.011183%0.362-0.082100%0.00
Patty Mills0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.260.090.16-0.002654%0.2600.002100%0.01
Danny Green0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.170.070.08-0.01976%0.323-0.163100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0.040,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.040.010.030.00956%0.092-0.05956%-0.02
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001064%0.123-0.09580%0.01
Nando De Colo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0140%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.110,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.030.021439%-0.032-0.0800%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.2,0.13,0.130.130.150.030.052166%0.192-0.06580%0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.120.120.080.04-0.001463%0.161-0.042100%0.02
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.080.08-0.030.08-0.031842%0.111-0.03757%-0.04
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.00759%0.082-0.05367%-0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.030.01862%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Victor Claver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.03-0.03840%-0.014-0.09475%-0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.120.021142%-0.092-0.10475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.20.328.016.430.01.840.8142.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +58.5%
SAS +5.4%
POR -3.2%
POR -7.5%
POR -3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game13.814.315.1108.8105.8105.2
season15.015.1109.8109.6
opponent14.815.0106.5101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.612.616.312.313.8
POR13.614.715.013.814.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili41420.61-0.110.720.0220-183813.314.2-0.8415.313.51.78
Boris Diaw64660.480.020.460.4220214.412.91.5113.815.0-1.12
Marco Belinelli77770.450.050.400.363-1413.614.7-1.1114.314.20.08
Tiago Splitter53520.440.060.380.353-1414.513.11.3514.913.61.32
Cory Joseph53550.390.110.290.3611012.715.1-2.3414.713.80.86
Patty Mills59570.370.130.240.196-41014.812.62.2214.114.4-0.25
Danny Green78800.340.160.170.42-35-813.515.0-1.5114.214.3-0.01
Nando De Colo870.180.32-0.140.1220214.013.80.1718.314.04.33
Jeff Ayres3233-0.130.63-0.77-0.05-35-813.913.80.0512.715.0-2.33
Matt Bonner1717-0.280.78-1.06-0.05-810-1814.113.80.2613.314.4-1.15
Shannon Brown2829-0.340.84-1.190.04-1315-2813.713.9-0.1313.314.6-1.36

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Robinson51490.31-0.811.11-0.0512-142613.215.3-2.0514.113.60.54
Victor Claver15160.14-0.640.790.053-5814.014.3-0.3013.913.80.11
Wesley Matthews7778-0.03-0.470.44-0.3812-142613.516.4-2.8514.511.72.74
Damian Lillard8181-0.09-0.410.31-0.369-112014.015.0-1.0114.411.62.86
CJ McCollum3432-0.17-0.330.160.03-75-1213.814.5-0.6812.314.6-2.28
Mo Williams5859-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.29-64-1014.314.10.2112.515.7-3.13
Dorell Wright4340-0.600.10-0.70-0.16-1513-2815.913.02.8814.113.70.46
Nicolas Batum8684-0.780.28-1.05-0.48-108-1814.512.81.7813.714.7-1.07
Robin Lopez7071-0.810.31-1.12-0.58-86-1414.913.01.8914.113.20.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.38,0.24,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.22,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 115, MIL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,092.2%
POR 111, UTA 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.44,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,091.8%
SAS 106, UTA 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.16,091.8%