NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	7.5 [331]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +43.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	91		Comeback	1.8 [456]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -20.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.39,0.44	0.16	0.27	-0.01	29	60%	0.49	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	66%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	0.01	8	26%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	-0.06	-0.00	17	67%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	10	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.11	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	64%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	11	29%	-0.18	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	29.4	16.3	26.5	3.3	32.6	135.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.3%

NYK +5.4%

NYK +0.5%

NYK +12.2%

NOP -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOP	NBA	NYK	NOP	NBA
this game	17.4	16.1	15.1	112.6	107.1	105.2
season	16.0	15.5		106.4	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.5	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.8	15.0	18.0	18.9	17.4
NOP	15.0	17.7	14.7	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	62	59	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-8	23	17.1	18.2	-1.18	16.2	15.7	0.49
Tyson Chandler	66	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	0	7	17.3	17.6	-0.22	15.9	16.5	-0.64
J.R. Smith	72	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-1	9	17.3	17.9	-0.64	16.2	15.6	0.57
Tim Hardaway Jr.	65	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	17.3	17.6	-0.25	16.3	15.4	0.95
Carmelo Anthony	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	17.4	17.2	0.22	15.6	18.7	-3.10
Iman Shumpert	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	5	-3	16.6	17.9	-1.33	16.3	15.9	0.34
Jeremy Tyler	25	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	9	-11	18.7	16.9	1.79	17.0	15.7	1.26
Pablo Prigioni	40	41	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.14	-9	16	-25	18.1	16.8	1.34	15.7	16.4	-0.75

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	29	30	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.09	8	-15	23	17.3	15.4	1.83	17.8	17.2	0.56
Greg Stiemsma	23	25	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.06	11	-18	29	16.9	15.8	1.15	18.2	17.1	1.06
Alexis Ajinca	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	14.8	16.5	-1.77	17.6	17.3	0.28
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.44	17.2	17.7	-0.51
Brian Roberts	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-4	1	15.6	16.9	-1.29	17.5	17.3	0.16
Luke Babbitt	31	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	17.0	15.5	1.46	17.3	17.5	-0.23
Austin Rivers	38	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	3	-13	16.8	15.5	1.30	16.4	18.3	-1.90
Tyreke Evans	38	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.9	16.2	-0.22	18.2	16.7	1.48
Anthony Davis	69	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	2	-11	15.7	17.5	-1.76	17.4	17.6	-0.19
Eric Gordon	63	63	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.41	-12	5	-17	15.8	17.0	-1.19	17.2	17.9	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.07,0.12,0.2,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.68,0.28,0.33,0.28,0	92.4%
WAS 83, IND 78	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.16,0	92.1%
BOS 95, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.54,0.33,0.15,0	91.8%