NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	7.2 [370]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +26.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	2.9 [510]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): -10.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.17	0.10	0.01	16	76%	0.30	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.07	0.05	14	60%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Joel Freeland	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.12	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	63%	0.12	4	-0.11	6	67%	0.02
Dorell Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Thomas Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	19	54%	0.18	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	12	66%	0.13	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	23	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	16	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.3	30.4	15.6	27.4	2.3	40.7	144.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +61.5%

MIN -3.1%

MIN -6.8%

MIN -2.4%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.1	117.0	107.8	105.2
season	15.1	14.6		109.6	107.3
opponent	14.5	14.8		104.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.1	16.4	13.3	12.3	14.3
MIN	15.2	14.3	14.4	13.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	67	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	13.3	16.4	-3.04	14.3	13.9	0.45
CJ McCollum	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	14.4	14.3	0.08	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Wesley Matthews	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	5	-3	14.4	14.2	0.20	14.3	14.0	0.23
Joel Freeland	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-7	21	14.0	14.5	-0.48	15.2	13.6	1.62
Thomas Robinson	31	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	7	-7	12.5	15.1	-2.58	14.3	14.1	0.22
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	1	5	15.7	11.7	4.02	14.4	13.7	0.64
Dorell Wright	16	17	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	-2	11	14.2	14.4	-0.17	14.9	14.0	0.91
Robin Lopez	63	65	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.38	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.0	0.48	13.6	15.2	-1.62
Earl Watson	21	21	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	3	1	15.4	14.1	1.33	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Nicolas Batum	72	73	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.17	-10	17	-27	14.4	14.1	0.31	13.7	15.4	-1.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	62	60	0.43	-0.93	1.35	-0.13	19	-26	45	13.6	15.0	-1.38	14.8	13.5	1.30
Ronny Turiaf	80	79	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-15	23	14.0	14.9	-0.86	15.1	11.4	3.73
Luc Mbah a Moute	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	-1	-5	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Dante Cunningham	83	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-11	15	13.8	15.9	-2.10	14.4	14.2	0.21
Ricky Rubio	83	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-12	17	13.8	15.9	-2.10	14.4	14.2	0.21
Corey Brewer	83	82	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.34	6	-13	19	14.0	15.1	-1.13	14.4	14.1	0.33
Robbie Hummel	12	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	14.7	14.1	0.64	12.5	14.6	-2.15
Alexey Shved	14	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	7	-21	14.9	14.1	0.86	13.5	14.5	-1.00
Gorgui Dieng	20	19	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	9	-25	15.4	13.9	1.57	12.3	14.8	-2.49
Jose Juan Barea	29	29	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.10	-18	11	-29	15.4	13.7	1.67	14.1	14.4	-0.27
Shabazz Muhammad	35	35	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.17	-19	12	-31	15.3	13.6	1.67	13.7	14.7	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.26,0.08,0.03,0.15,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 95, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.06,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.06,0.15,0	92.7%
HOU 112, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.2,0.13,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	92.6%
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%