NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	5.4 [748]		MVP	Alan Anderson (BKN): +32.2%
Brooklyn Nets	103		Comeback	2.4 [789]		LVP	Mirza Teletovic (BKN): -9.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Danny Green	0.09	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.03	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Aron Baynes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	4	20%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nando De Colo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	8	26%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Jeff Ayres	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tiago Splitter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	38%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.16	-0.02	15	69%	0.32	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	4	78%	0.07	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	10	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	31.4	18.8	29.7	2.8	35.2	144.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +40.4%

SAS -13.2%

BKN +22.9%

SAS -1.1%

BKN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BKN	NBA	SAS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.1	94.7	108.4	105.2
season	15.0	15.7		109.8	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	17.5	14.7	13.6	15.1
BKN	17.3	15.2	14.7	14.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nando De Colo	54	56	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-24	34	14.0	16.5	-2.54	15.4	15.4	0.09
Jeff Ayres	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-11	8	13.6	15.7	-2.14	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Aron Baynes	24	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-17	20	13.2	15.7	-2.44	13.3	16.2	-2.90
Marco Belinelli	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-9	4	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.8	14.4	1.43
Danny Green	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	16.1	12.6	3.55	16.3	13.3	2.97
Matt Bonner	29	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-3	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.39	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Cory Joseph	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-8	2	15.3	14.4	0.89	15.6	14.8	0.78
Shannon Brown	40	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.06	-14	0	-14	14.9	15.1	-0.20	14.6	16.0	-1.45
Tiago Splitter	48	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	0	-14	16.4	13.7	2.64	16.2	14.6	1.59
Patty Mills	45	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.06	-22	8	-30	15.1	15.0	0.13	15.0	15.8	-0.74

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	59	57	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	0	14	15.7	14.9	0.84	15.2	14.9	0.33
Shaun Livingston	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	5	4	15.8	14.7	1.12	16.4	12.9	3.47
Andrei Kirilenko	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	2	10	14.7	16.4	-1.70	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Kevin Garnett	36	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	7	0	15.9	15.1	0.86	15.9	14.5	1.40
Mirza Teletovic	45	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	2	10	15.2	15.6	-0.48	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Alan Anderson	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	15.1	16.0	-0.90	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Andray Blatche	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	7	0	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.4	15.5	-1.17
Joe Johnson	53	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	14	-14	15.7	15.0	0.65	15.8	14.2	1.58
Paul Pierce	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	15	-16	16.2	14.7	1.50	16.3	14.0	2.28
Marquis Teague	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	12.0	15.7	-3.68	10.7	15.4	-4.70
Mason Plumlee	22	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	14	-14	14.4	15.7	-1.30	14.9	15.1	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.85,0.72,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, DAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
BOS 89, NOP 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 74, IND 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%