NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	10.7 [57]		MVP	Evan Turner (PHI): +54.7%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	7.7 [120]		LVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): -35.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.55	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.55	-0.03	0.58	-0.00	17	40%	0.55	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.09
James Anderson	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	8	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.05	-0.00	14	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hollis Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	67%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tony Wroten	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.08	-0.03	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.23
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.13	0.00	14	30%	-0.20	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.15

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	5	72%	0.21	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.17	-0.00	13	53%	-0.06	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	0.01	13	36%	-0.24	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.17
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.35	-0.35	-0.08	-0.26	0.02	25	43%	-0.28	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.5	31.6	15.3	24.6	2.4	30.4	132.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +118.1%

BOS -22.2%

BOS -75.2%

PHI +23.9%

PHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	15.1	96.9	94.0	105.2
season	13.7	15.4		98.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.1	12.5	17.6	13.2	13.9
BOS	12.6	16.8	16.0	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	75	76	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.51	21	-20	41	13.4	15.7	-2.28	16.4	11.0	5.43
Michael Carter-Williams	71	73	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.63	10	-9	19	13.8	14.4	-0.68	15.6	14.0	1.60
Spencer Hawes	74	75	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.45	13	-12	25	13.2	16.3	-3.10	15.5	13.9	1.61
James Anderson	60	60	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.59	7	-6	13	13.2	15.1	-1.85	15.9	14.0	1.88
Thaddeus Young	68	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	7	-13	13.7	14.4	-0.70	15.0	15.3	-0.26
Lavoy Allen	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	0	1	15.0	13.6	1.38	15.5	15.0	0.46
Dewayne Dedmon	28	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	7	-13	15.5	13.3	2.22	14.0	15.6	-1.61
Elliot Williams	24	24	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.17	-4	5	-9	13.9	14.0	-0.04	14.2	15.4	-1.16
Hollis Thompson	33	35	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.06	-15	16	-31	15.5	13.2	2.36	13.3	16.1	-2.75
Tony Wroten	31	32	-0.57	1.07	-1.65	-0.10	-16	17	-33	15.4	13.3	2.15	12.2	16.5	-4.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	42	39	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.16	8	-9	17	13.5	16.3	-2.81	14.9	13.3	1.53
Phil Pressey	45	47	0.27	-0.77	1.05	0.18	3	-4	7	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.2	14.6	-1.46
Gerald Wallace	68	68	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	12	-25	15.9	13.6	2.26	13.9	14.2	-0.31
Brandon Bass	40	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.20	-16	15	-31	16.7	14.0	2.70	13.2	14.5	-1.24
Chris Johnson	48	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-4	7	14.4	15.8	-1.41	13.3	14.5	-1.14
Jared Sullinger	71	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-1	1	15.9	13.3	2.56	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Jeff Green	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.68	5	-6	11	14.8	16.4	-1.58	14.1	13.3	0.82
Kris Humphries	47	43	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.80	6	-7	13	14.1	16.1	-1.97	14.3	13.7	0.67
Jerryd Bayless	61	56	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.66	-1	0	-1	15.8	14.1	1.68	15.0	12.6	2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	90.2%
IND 92, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.42,0	90.0%
POR 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	89.8%