NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	10.8 [56]		MVP	Maurice Harkless (POR): +103.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	3.9 [514]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -24.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	1.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.52,1.03	0.20	0.84	0.00	14	72%	1.03	0	0.00	8	87%	0.12
Seth Curry	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.13	0.17	-0.02	13	73%	0.34	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.08	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Evan Turner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.10	-0.00	13	69%	0.11	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	0.01	13	41%	-0.14	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Muscala	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	10	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.11	0.00	6	69%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	39%	-0.00	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.00	-0.14	0.01	31	46%	-0.07	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Jemerrio Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	13	42%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.28,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.28,-0.28,-0.15,-0.2	-0.20	-0.20	-0.01	-0.00	16	35%	0.21	7	-0.41	2	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	27.5	15.2	27.4	1.8	31.4	127.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.0%

POR +30.8%

LAL -47.0%

POR +23.0%

POR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	14.3	105.1	102.0	109.3
season	14.9	13.5		112.6	107.2
opponent	14.2	13.9		108.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	14.1	17.2	15.7	15.4
LAL	12.3	14.2	13.4	15.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	59	58	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.48	17	-14	31	15.4	15.5	-0.13	14.3	12.8	1.51
Enes Kanter	74	74	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.50	15	-12	27	15.7	14.6	1.16	14.2	12.0	2.23
Maurice Harkless	68	67	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.47	13	-10	23	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.3	12.3	2.05
Damian Lillard	74	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	0	3	15.5	15.1	0.46	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Seth Curry	57	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	6	-9	15.2	15.8	-0.63	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Al-Farouq Aminu	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	-1	5	16.0	15.1	0.91	14.4	13.2	1.27
Jake Layman	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	5	-7	14.8	15.6	-0.72	12.8	13.9	-1.02
Rodney Hood	43	44	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.02	-12	15	-27	15.3	15.5	-0.13	13.1	14.1	-1.04
Evan Turner	35	36	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.08	-10	13	-23	15.1	15.6	-0.52	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Zach Collins	27	28	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.08	-10	13	-23	14.7	15.7	-0.94	12.5	14.1	-1.68

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	36	35	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.09	11	-14	25	13.4	13.8	-0.35	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Isaac Bonga	18	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	2	-7	13.9	13.6	0.34	15.5	15.4	0.06
JaVale McGee	39	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	5	-13	14.5	13.1	1.44	15.5	15.3	0.19
Johnathan Williams	60	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.40	5	-8	13	13.1	14.5	-1.44	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Alex Caruso	85	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-5	7	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.5	14.9	0.58
Jemerrio Jones	95	95	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	13.8	11.0	2.78	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	89	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	1	-5	13.8	12.6	1.19	15.7	13.0	2.70
Mike Muscala	73	74	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.53	-13	10	-23	13.6	13.8	-0.14	15.4	15.4	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	91.2%
DET 80, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.42,0	91.1%
MEM 96, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%