NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	4.2 [975]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): +18.0%
Houston Rockets	126		Comeback	1.0 [912]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -2.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.03	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	26	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	17	57%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.21	0.02	0.04	19	74%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	75%	0.12	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	15	62%	0.14	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	15	63%	0.12	5	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.6	30.5	18.6	35.4	3.4	27.6	142.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.4%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +7.1%

POR -0.5%

POR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.1	114.1	127.3	105.2
season	15.1	14.3		109.6	109.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	15.8	13.1	12.2	14.7
HOU	13.1	11.8	14.6	18.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	10.0	15.1	-5.07	17.6	14.2	3.47
Will Barton	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	10.0	15.1	-5.07	17.6	14.2	3.47
Meyers Leonard	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.16	5	-18	23	11.9	15.2	-3.29	14.9	14.4	0.51
Thomas Robinson	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.06	-4	-9	5	14.1	14.9	-0.82	15.6	14.0	1.69
Joel Freeland	9	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	17.8	14.3	3.43	14.0	14.5	-0.47
CJ McCollum	33	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	12.8	15.6	-2.71	15.3	14.0	1.29
Wesley Matthews	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	15.6	12.6	2.93	14.8	13.7	1.05
Nicolas Batum	69	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	15.1	13.7	1.37	13.9	15.8	-1.97
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.4	12.9	2.46	15.2	12.4	2.73
Mo Williams	53	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	3	-19	14.6	14.7	-0.11	14.1	14.8	-0.71
Robin Lopez	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	14.8	14.4	0.45	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Damian Lillard	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	14.9	14.0	0.87	13.6	17.2	-3.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	58	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	-13	39	14.1	15.0	-0.88	16.4	12.4	3.92
Chandler Parsons	85	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	3	7	14.8	12.0	2.84	15.1	11.9	3.26
Omri Casspi	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	3	7	14.3	14.9	-0.59	14.0	16.3	-2.34
Dwight Howard	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	1	11	13.8	16.8	-3.01	15.4	11.8	3.61
James Harden	85	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	8	-3	14.3	15.4	-1.07	14.7	14.6	0.10
Donatas Motiejunas	41	43	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	11	-9	16.3	13.1	3.26	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Jeremy Lin	53	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.34	-7	20	-27	14.2	14.7	-0.49	13.3	16.4	-3.12
Ronnie Brewer	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	10	-7	14.9	14.3	0.58	12.0	15.3	-3.33
Robert Covington	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	11.0	14.5	-3.51	8.0	14.7	-6.72
Aaron Brooks	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	11.0	14.5	-3.51	8.0	14.7	-6.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.72,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ATL 92, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 95, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%