inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 107 Excitement8.6 [184] MVPRyan Kelly (LAL): +45.0%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback26.3 [28] LVPAvery Bradley (BOS): -27.1%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Kelly0.450,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.450.100.350.001267%0.491-0.046100%0.07
Kendall Marshall0.190,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.19,0.190.030.170.011183%0.417-0.221100%0.01
Pau Gasol0.120,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.010.021563%0.1200.00875%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.060.010.04-0.001355%0.143-0.09560%-0.05
Wesley Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00761%0.133-0.12450%-0.02
Robert Sacre-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Chris Kaman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02367%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Manny Harris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00744%0.021-0.052100%0.01
Jordan Hill-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.140.160.001769%0.341-0.042100%0.02
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00874%0.121-0.02367%-0.00
Jared Sullinger0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.060.00961%0.142-0.0800%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.041045%0.0600.002100%0.01
Phil Pressey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.020.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jerryd Bayless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.001243%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.16-0.16-0.02-0.15-0.01944%-0.141-0.0300%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.27-0.27-0.12-0.150.002030%-0.231-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.41.831.115.423.32.539.5135.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +62.3%
LAL +40.6%
LAL +12.1%
BOS -47.6%
BOS -17.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALBOSNBALALBOSNBA
this game14.115.015.1109.2104.0105.2
season14.015.4102.9101.2
opponent15.014.8106.0108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL13.311.816.715.014.1
BOS16.714.414.714.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jodie Meeks88900.84-0.341.180.3417-143113.717.6-3.9315.114.50.57
Ryan Kelly69710.76-0.261.020.4610-71714.413.40.9815.214.40.79
Kendall Marshall88910.57-0.070.640.396-3914.411.23.2015.114.20.87
Pau Gasol71720.53-0.030.560.414-1514.712.52.1415.114.70.41
Wesley Johnson77780.390.110.270.47-36-914.113.90.2114.815.8-0.98
Robert Sacre12130.140.36-0.23-0.015-2713.914.1-0.1815.115.00.08
Jordan Hill2424-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-47-1113.514.3-0.7614.215.2-1.00
Chris Kaman1515-0.170.67-0.830.01-69-1511.414.6-3.1514.415.1-0.72
Manny Harris4646-0.420.92-1.35-0.01-1417-3114.014.1-0.1315.214.90.26

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass40400.21-0.710.93-0.0810-132314.615.3-0.6414.413.80.64
Phil Pressey46440.17-0.670.840.170-3315.514.60.9114.313.90.45
Jerryd Bayless39380.06-0.560.61-0.126-91515.414.80.6612.315.2-2.95
Jared Sullinger6059-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-30-315.314.60.7313.714.7-1.03
Kris Humphries2223-0.19-0.310.120.16-129-2116.214.71.5014.414.00.47
Gerald Wallace5552-0.23-0.270.03-0.323-6914.415.7-1.2713.215.0-1.75
Kelly Olynyk6967-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.535-81314.715.7-0.9713.914.4-0.46
Jeff Green7170-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.35-52-714.915.4-0.5214.912.02.85
Rajon Rondo4140-0.730.23-0.96-0.50-85-1314.315.5-1.2614.114.00.09
Avery Bradley5757-0.790.29-1.07-0.46-118-1915.514.41.1215.012.82.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 84, WAS 820.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.78,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.63,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.74,090.6%
HOU 85, CHA 820.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.73,090.1%
IND 101, OKC 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,089.5%