NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	8.9 [154]		MVP	Monta Ellis (IND): +51.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	18.0 [27]		LVP	Ian Mahinmi (IND): -23.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.51	0.15	0.38	0.01	16	69%	0.57	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.04
Myles Turner	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.2	0.04	0.18	0.01	12	59%	0.28	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Paul George	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	14	59%	0.23	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.06
Lavoy Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	11	41%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.24,-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	0.00	18	51%	-0.17	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	17	64%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	26	56%	0.22	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	15	41%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	44%	-0.00	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	0.01	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	29.4	15.8	28.4	3.5	32.5	136.5
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

OKC -7.5%

IND +15.8%

IND +14.3%

OKC -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.9	102.0	97.0	105.1
season	14.6	14.4		103.2	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		104.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.6	11.9	15.2	14.8
OKC	13.5	14.1	13.8	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	72	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.41	10	-7	17	14.8	14.8	0.00	13.4	15.7	-2.34
Ian Mahinmi	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-9	21	14.8	14.6	0.26	13.6	15.3	-1.77
Monta Ellis	82	82	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-6	15	14.1	17.9	-3.82	13.7	15.5	-1.78
George Hill	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-1	5	15.1	13.4	1.73	13.3	17.1	-3.89
Myles Turner	76	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	15.0	14.0	0.96	13.1	17.2	-4.11
Chase Budinger	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	16.4	14.4	1.97	16.7	13.4	3.27
Lavoy Allen	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	3	-3	14.0	15.0	-0.96	17.2	13.1	4.11
Joe Young	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	13.4	15.1	-1.73	17.1	13.3	3.89
Solomon Hill	25	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	13	-23	15.7	14.5	1.26	14.5	13.8	0.70
Jordan Hill	24	25	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	14	-25	14.6	14.8	-0.26	15.8	13.5	2.30

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	26	26	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.04	11	-14	25	15.5	13.5	2.03	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Nick Collison	18	17	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.04	6	-9	15	15.8	13.6	2.19	13.9	15.0	-1.01
Cameron Payne	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-4	5	16.9	13.2	3.68	13.7	15.1	-1.47
Enes Kanter	42	41	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-2	1	15.6	12.9	2.68	13.8	15.4	-1.62
Anthony Morrow	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	15.8	13.5	2.33	16.0	14.4	1.65
Serge Ibaka	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.45	-1	-2	1	13.0	17.0	-4.05	15.1	13.9	1.15
Russell Westbrook	80	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	13.3	16.8	-3.51	15.3	13.1	2.17
Kevin Durant	83	81	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	13.4	16.9	-3.48	14.5	16.1	-1.63
Dion Waiters	69	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.33	-11	8	-19	13.5	15.1	-1.56	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Steven Adams	67	66	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	7	-17	13.7	14.6	-0.89	15.3	13.8	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.92,0	91.9%
MEM 90, NOP 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.59,0.65,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.68,0.58,0	91.4%
PHI 96, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.84,0	91.3%