inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 86 Excitement4.9 [860] MVPNikola Pekovic (MIN): +13.6%
San Antonio Spurs 104 Comeback1.1 [1014] LVPKevin Martin (MIN): -21.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic0.140,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.130.020.011569%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Alexey Shved0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.010.02779%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Chase Budinger0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04831%0.0100.0000%0.00
A.J. Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01943%0.021-0.023100%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01844%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kevin Love-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.02-0.041436%-0.051-0.041173%0.02
Kevin Martin-0.220,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.14-0.10-0.021223%-0.112-0.102100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.011177%0.152-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.011070%0.0900.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.01865%0.132-0.04450%-0.02
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.01683%0.092-0.0100%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.00487%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.02757%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.03-0.03962%0.073-0.06683%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.022100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.001154%0.045-0.134100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.725.414.724.71.721.4114.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +70.0%
MIN -2.9%
MIN -4.4%
MIN -11.1%
MIN -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINSASNBAMINSASNBA
this game15.414.815.189.6109.5105.2
season14.615.0107.3109.8
opponent15.014.5101.1104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN15.516.317.013.015.4
SAS15.215.614.314.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dante Cunningham30280.03-0.530.560.09-2-161414.915.6-0.6314.914.80.10
Jose Juan Barea32330.01-0.510.510.010-181815.215.5-0.2714.714.8-0.10
Luc Mbah a Moute119-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161410.416.0-5.6512.815.0-2.22
A.J. Price119-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161410.416.0-5.6512.815.0-2.22
Gorgui Dieng119-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161410.416.0-5.6512.815.0-2.22
Alexey Shved4745-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-171615.015.7-0.6314.614.9-0.28
Chase Budinger4041-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-171616.214.81.4314.814.8-0.06
Ronny Turiaf3332-0.06-0.440.39-0.091-192015.015.5-0.5114.614.9-0.34
Nikola Pekovic5254-0.44-0.06-0.390.05-17-1-1616.613.92.7715.314.21.09
Corey Brewer4545-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-15-3-1215.814.90.9015.214.40.82
Kevin Martin5150-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.10-13-5-815.215.6-0.4015.314.21.08
Ricky Rubio5758-0.520.02-0.540.01-180-1816.314.02.3414.914.60.32
Kevin Love6062-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-180-1816.114.11.9614.715.0-0.37

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker57580.490.010.480.021621415.413.91.4016.314.02.30
Tim Duncan53520.440.060.37-0.061711615.114.40.6916.314.22.10
Kawhi Leonard71690.410.090.31-0.031531215.213.71.5016.113.62.52
Marco Belinelli41410.310.190.130.0599015.514.31.1916.014.91.15
Cory Joseph43440.270.230.040.03810-213.815.6-1.8213.317.1-3.82
Jeff Ayres41410.230.27-0.04-0.00810-214.115.3-1.2215.015.6-0.59
Boris Diaw39400.150.35-0.200.03414-1015.614.21.4016.714.42.25
Matt Bonner44430.100.40-0.29-0.01414-1015.214.50.6914.915.8-0.91
Aron Baynes13160.080.42-0.35-0.01315-1212.015.2-3.2311.216.2-5.01
Danny Green17180.030.47-0.43-0.05315-1214.814.8-0.0317.414.92.49
Nando De Colo9110.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1412.815.0-2.2210.416.0-5.65
Patty Mills4747-0.020.52-0.53-0.04117-1614.315.3-1.0615.015.8-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,195.1%
LAL 97, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
LAL 98, GSW 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%