NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	4.8 [831]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +6.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	1.2 [680]		LVP	George Lynch (PHI): -8.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	20	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Devean George	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	11	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	13	60%	0.08	6	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	29	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.02
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Rodney Buford	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	61%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	27.2	19.7	25.3	3.2	33.3	139.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +15.9%

PHI +10.2%

PHI +8.4%

PHI +15.2%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.5	98.0	113.1	100.9
season	15.6	15.7		106.8	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		97.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	13.0	16.1	14.2	13.9
PHI	14.5	15.2	15.2	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	23	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-18	21	15.1	13.6	1.56	14.1	15.5	-1.39
Robert Horry	33	33	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-12	9	13.6	14.1	-0.53	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Devean George	12	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-12	9	14.1	13.9	0.18	9.5	15.9	-6.32
Greg Foster	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-10	5	16.1	13.8	2.38	11.5	15.4	-3.90
Brian Shaw	69	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-15	15	14.4	12.8	1.57	16.4	12.0	4.36
Isaiah Rider	38	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-5	-5	14.2	13.8	0.46	13.8	16.0	-2.11
Rick Fox	72	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	13.6	14.8	-1.22	15.7	13.8	1.85
Tyronn Lue	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-3	-9	12.4	14.8	-2.33	14.7	15.4	-0.78
Shaquille O'Neal	73	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-8	1	13.3	15.6	-2.23	16.4	11.7	4.76
Kobe Bryant	82	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	2	-19	14.2	12.8	1.34	15.5	13.6	1.91
Horace Grant	50	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	0	-15	14.4	13.4	0.99	14.6	15.7	-1.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	-6	27	13.3	17.7	-4.47	13.5	14.5	-0.91
Allen Iverson	80	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-1	17	15.5	13.5	2.02	13.9	14.1	-0.23
George Lynch	67	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	1	13	15.7	14.0	1.72	14.4	13.1	1.33
Toni Kukoc	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	9	-3	14.1	16.3	-2.23	13.8	14.0	-0.22
Jumaine Jones	33	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	11	-7	14.1	15.7	-1.56	14.2	13.8	0.47
Tyrone Hill	67	69	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	3	9	15.7	14.1	1.53	14.3	13.2	1.09
Eric Snow	64	62	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.01	7	8	-1	16.9	12.1	4.80	14.6	12.7	1.92
Todd MacCulloch	31	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.5	-0.99	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Nazr Mohammed	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	16.1	14.6	1.47	12.9	14.5	-1.68
Rodney Buford	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	12.0	15.3	-3.29	12.0	14.0	-1.99
Kevin Ollie	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	12.0	15.3	-3.29	9.5	14.1	-4.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 79, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 78, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 89, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%