inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 88 Excitement3.9 [1027] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +14.6%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback1.4 [491] LVPJJ Hickson (DEN): -9.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.11-0.00-0.001858%0.142-0.041694%0.07
Kendrick Perkins0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00555%0.041-0.0310%-0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02362%0.0000.00250%0.00
Steven Adams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.00175%0.021-0.03250%0.00
Perry Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03729%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.0210%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011250%0.024-0.072100%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.001133%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.17-0.00-0.121212%-0.061-0.00250%-0.01
Derek Fisher-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.05-0.010.101155%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.040.06-0.051550%0.171-0.022100%0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.220.010.091192%0.161-0.024100%0.02
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.010.011370%0.131-0.011100%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00387%0.022-0.00250%-0.01
Quincy Miller0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00664%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.01-0.07825%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.11-0.00-0.091322%-0.0200.0010%-0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04941%0.022-0.05425%-0.04
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02920%-0.071-0.022100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.83.435.318.426.32.829.0142.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.1%
OKC -8.5%
OKC -0.1%
DEN +3.4%
DEN +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game13.915.415.188.9103.1105.2
season14.414.0107.8104.5
opponent14.915.4106.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.813.515.314.013.9
DEN14.413.116.018.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Roberson2423-0.01-0.490.48-0.258-212913.713.9-0.2018.614.44.21
Nick Collison3028-0.14-0.360.220.18-11-2-912.814.3-1.5714.015.9-1.94
Perry Jones4745-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-10713.614.1-0.4616.114.81.30
Derek Fisher5048-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-121113.614.1-0.5616.014.81.12
Kendrick Perkins4544-0.19-0.310.11-0.02-6-7114.213.60.5914.616.1-1.49
Jeremy Lamb5251-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-9513.514.2-0.6716.514.22.26
Steven Adams3837-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-121113.913.80.1415.915.10.81
Serge Ibaka5051-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-10-3-714.413.31.0114.915.9-0.97
Kevin Durant5960-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.05-9-4-513.814.0-0.2414.516.8-2.38
Reggie Jackson5355-0.34-0.16-0.190.13-163-1914.113.60.5115.015.8-0.80
Thabo Sefolosha4748-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.00-12-1-1114.513.31.1614.716.1-1.37

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson81810.440.060.38-0.0316-31915.415.4-0.0314.411.33.09
Randy Foye75750.430.070.350.1694516.013.32.7214.811.03.83
Timofey Mozgov47470.410.090.330.0014-11514.815.9-1.1514.113.60.51
Kenneth Faried64640.360.140.230.1967-115.515.20.3213.813.9-0.04
Nate Robinson43460.250.25-0.010.22112-1116.214.81.3814.413.41.04
Quincy Miller43420.200.30-0.110.0558-315.415.30.1013.714.0-0.25
Evan Fournier40410.190.31-0.13-0.14112913.916.4-2.4312.015.2-3.17
JJ Hickson49500.120.38-0.260.03310-716.214.61.6314.713.01.74
Darrell Arthur34350.110.39-0.29-0.1385314.815.7-0.9513.514.0-0.49
Anthony Randolph770.000.50-0.500.12-417-2113.715.5-1.806.614.4-7.84
Jordan Hamilton770.000.50-0.500.12-417-2113.715.5-1.806.614.4-7.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 80, BOS 910.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
PHI 76, SEA 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
LAC 86, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%