NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	3.5 [1072]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +15.1%
Boston Celtics	91		Comeback	1.2 [1117]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -12.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	82%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	4	70%	0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	16	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	8	39%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	13	27%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	10	20%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	10	80%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	16	49%	-0.02	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.02	18	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.04
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	5	21%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	29.3	17.6	33.0	1.8	29.2	137.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +31.8%

BOS +12.9%

NYK -5.0%

BOS +9.8%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.5	88.9	101.1	101.6
season	15.6	15.6		102.6	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.3	17.2	15.0	13.7	15.5
BOS	15.7	17.9	14.4	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.45	16	-27	43	14.0	16.1	-2.18	18.9	15.6	3.31
Lavor Postell	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-23	35	11.7	16.5	-4.81	17.8	16.2	1.68
Lee Nailon	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-19	27	13.1	16.6	-3.50	17.2	16.2	1.00
Shandon Anderson	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-19	27	13.6	16.6	-2.93	18.6	15.3	3.34
Charlie Ward	50	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-15	19	14.7	16.5	-1.78	17.2	15.6	1.65
Clar. Weatherspoon	29	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-2	-7	16.4	15.1	1.38	17.2	16.2	1.01
Othella Harrington	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	3	-17	16.4	14.6	1.84	15.1	17.9	-2.78
Howard Eisley	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	4	-19	16.5	14.7	1.78	15.6	17.2	-1.65
Allan Houston	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	9	-29	16.8	12.6	4.27	15.5	18.6	-3.04
Kurt Thomas	50	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.19	-23	12	-35	16.3	14.5	1.82	15.8	17.4	-1.66
Latrell Sprewell	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	11	-33	16.2	13.4	2.84	16.0	18.0	-2.06

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-9	29	16.3	17.4	-1.14	16.2	12.8	3.42
Tony Delk	59	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.03	17	-6	23	15.9	17.5	-1.62	15.8	15.1	0.66
Paul Pierce	59	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.27	22	-11	33	16.3	16.9	-0.68	17.3	11.8	5.54
Tony Battie	52	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.30	22	-11	33	17.0	15.8	1.16	16.3	14.5	1.78
Shammond Williams	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	7	-3	16.4	16.6	-0.16	14.6	16.8	-2.12
Eric Williams	44	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	4	3	15.0	17.9	-2.91	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Walter McCarty	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.46	-10	21	-31	18.0	15.4	2.62	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Vin Baker	22	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	14.0	17.3	-3.29	16.9	15.0	1.86
Kedrick Brown	22	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.22	-7	18	-25	18.4	15.9	2.54	13.7	16.1	-2.44
J.R. Bremer	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	20	-29	19.6	16.1	3.50	10.6	16.2	-5.55
Bruno Sundov	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	26	-41	18.3	16.1	2.22	11.0	16.5	-5.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAC 70, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
OKC 88, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%