inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 101 Excitement4.4 [937] MVPDavid Lee (GSW): +15.8%
Milwaukee Bucks 80 Comeback1.6 [1120] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -14.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0.160,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.01-0.001285%0.212-0.052100%0.01
Toney Douglas0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.01-0.02667%0.0800.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.12-0.000.083110%0.0300.00450%-0.03
Kent Bazemore0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00475%0.0310.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.070.05-0.041837%0.051-0.03450%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Draymond Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.01-0.04633%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01667%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03536%0.011-0.02475%0.01
Harrison Barnes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.010.03743%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.17-0.05-0.071837%0.057-0.20475%0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.01762%0.0800.002100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.010.02881%0.102-0.0600%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.011553%0.061-0.02875%0.01
Nate Wolters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02050%0.0010.00250%0.00
Miroslav Raduljica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Knight0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.041556%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02333%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.02922%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.00-0.03410%-0.052-0.02250%-0.02
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.03714%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Larry Sanders0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.021023%-0.091-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.11.828.215.624.12.327.6124.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +47.1%
GSW +1.6%
GSW +21.4%
MIL -20.0%
MIL -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMILNBAGSWMILNBA
this game15.216.415.1109.888.9105.2
season14.215.7105.9101.4
opponent15.115.3109.7102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.015.614.119.015.2
MIL15.217.916.616.216.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson48490.430.070.37-0.071741315.814.71.1117.215.51.76
David Lee68670.350.150.20-0.151741315.315.00.2716.217.0-0.83
Kent Bazemore25230.310.190.13-0.07138515.815.00.7218.415.72.65
Andrew Bogut48460.310.190.120.08813-514.715.9-1.2016.116.8-0.73
Stephen Curry70680.280.220.07-0.041110115.514.50.9116.017.6-1.61
Andre Iguodala58570.250.250.01-0.13138515.215.4-0.2315.917.4-1.49
Toney Douglas22220.220.28-0.07-0.081011-114.515.5-0.9117.616.01.61
Marreese Speights28260.190.31-0.11-0.01714-714.715.5-0.8118.115.72.33
Draymond Green36370.160.34-0.18-0.161110116.114.71.4817.016.00.98
Ognjen Kuzmic450.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1914.715.3-0.518.816.9-8.07
Harrison Barnes5350-0.010.51-0.520.08-324-2714.815.9-1.1415.417.6-2.21

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nate Wolters540.00-0.500.500.03-1-20198.816.9-8.0714.715.3-0.51
Miroslav Raduljica540.00-0.500.500.03-1-20198.816.9-8.0714.715.3-0.51
Khris Middleton5558-0.10-0.400.290.10-7-14716.516.30.2216.014.02.01
O.J. Mayo4549-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-201917.015.81.2014.815.7-0.95
Brandon Knight6971-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-14716.416.6-0.1915.016.0-0.92
Larry Sanders5758-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-10-116.416.40.0415.514.70.80
Ersan Ilyasova6261-0.24-0.260.010.28-18-3-1515.219.1-3.9014.716.2-1.49
Caron Butler2831-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.17-3-181519.115.23.9016.214.71.49
Ekpe Udoh2830-0.26-0.24-0.020.00-9-12317.715.81.9314.715.5-0.75
Giannis Antetokounmpo4846-0.44-0.06-0.370.21-221-2315.717.3-1.6215.614.80.78
Luke Ridnour4848-0.660.16-0.820.07-254-2917.415.32.0414.815.7-0.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 87, HOU 740.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
MEM 113, SAC 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
CHA 118, MEM 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%