inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement8.2 [220] MVPJonas Valanciunas (TOR): +22.4%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback3.5 [560] LVPPatrick Patterson (TOR): -14.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0.220,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.220.100.140.01885%0.282-0.05475%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.050.11-0.050.011962%0.081-0.03475%-0.01
John Salmons0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.00267%0.061-0.03250%-0.01
Landry Fields0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greivis Vasquez-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.02-0.090.01850%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,-0.12-0.00-0.12-0.001355%0.033-0.14560%-0.01
Kyle Lowry-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.12-0.02-0.11-0.021444%-0.081-0.03450%-0.02
Patrick Patterson-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.04-0.001339%-0.024-0.1320%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.20.200.180.060.041870%0.221-0.02786%0.05
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,0.10.10-0.010.110.001347%0.131-0.034100%0.06
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.030.00275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.001259%0.082-0.05560%-0.02
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.002100%0.061-0.0500%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00558%0.041-0.032100%0.02
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00740%0.0000.0010%-0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.00936%0.011-0.044100%0.06
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.01462%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.04-0.00733%-0.071-0.024100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.22.527.215.526.42.332.4135.6
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -13.4%
MIA +43.7%
MIA +12.9%
MIA +5.8%
MIA +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game16.515.715.1109.0113.3105.2
season15.915.6107.2109.7
opponent15.815.1105.1104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR16.315.419.215.416.5
MIA14.414.615.118.915.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Landry Fields670.03-0.530.56-0.032-7915.716.6-0.9214.715.7-1.02
Kyle Lowry7171-0.13-0.370.24-0.254-91316.616.10.5914.619.7-5.11
Jonas Valanciunas6465-0.14-0.360.23-0.202-7917.214.92.2415.416.3-0.92
Terrence Ross6264-0.18-0.320.15-0.15-1-4317.115.31.7715.017.3-2.38
Patrick Patterson4546-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-3116.516.50.0115.116.2-1.07
John Salmons3939-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.19-61-715.817.1-1.3515.315.9-0.57
Greivis Vasquez1819-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-94-1316.116.6-0.5919.714.65.11
DeMar DeRozan7171-0.580.08-0.66-0.38-72-916.516.40.1016.313.23.17
Amir Johnson6968-0.590.09-0.67-0.35-83-1115.918.5-2.6116.513.13.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade65650.69-0.190.890.3113-82116.114.51.5716.317.0-0.70
Chris Andersen27260.53-0.030.550.2011-61717.215.02.2418.215.92.30
Chris Bosh61610.450.050.410.228-31115.116.8-1.7317.115.21.86
Ray Allen45420.440.060.370.4114-317.613.73.9816.716.30.40
Roger Mason Jr.990.410.090.320.159-41323.614.88.7817.216.40.77
LeBron James71710.280.220.060.2514-314.719.1-4.3116.815.61.15
Mario Chalmers30300.050.45-0.40-0.0123-114.116.4-2.3316.516.6-0.09
Norris Cole58580.040.46-0.420.25-712-1914.717.3-2.5716.316.9-0.53
Rashard Lewis2322-0.010.51-0.52-0.0105-515.415.7-0.3516.616.50.14
Udonis Haslem2121-0.030.53-0.560.09-49-1315.015.8-0.7914.217.2-3.06
Michael Beasley4040-0.350.85-1.19-0.08-914-2315.315.9-0.6415.617.3-1.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.84,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 81, MIN 880.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,192.6%
MIN 105, IND 1160.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.99,191.9%
PHI 99, SAC 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.54,0.85,0.98,191.8%