inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 115 Excitement11.2 [44] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +31.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 111 Comeback14.7 [78] LVPRicky Rubio (MIN): -26.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.320,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.28,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.320.230.110.023262%0.553-0.241392%0.04
Jeremy Lamb0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.2-0.020.220.01747%0.252-0.055100%0.10
Reggie Jackson0.060,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.06-0.030.090.00662%0.154-0.094100%0.06
Derek Fisher0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.01-0.00772%0.143-0.104100%0.03
Steven Adams0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00583%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00667%0.081-0.0600%0.00
Perry Jones0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02736%0.012-0.0700%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.170,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17-0.05-0.110.001346%-0.073-0.1000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.150.130.002260%0.2900.00862%-0.02
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.27,0.240.240.050.19-0.002161%0.527-0.27743%-0.67
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.011455%0.083-0.06367%-0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.021447%0.021-0.02450%-0.05
Robbie Hummel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexey Shved0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.00545%-0.011-0.021100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.06-0.190.011341%-0.182-0.08683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.530.315.427.11.844.0146.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +12.7%
OKC +42.5%
OKC +32.0%
MIN -32.4%
MIN -4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game12.913.915.1107.5102.8105.2
season14.414.6107.8107.3
opponent14.515.4104.7102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC11.912.214.513.012.9
MIN13.913.513.714.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb59610.66-0.160.820.1916-122812.812.9-0.1013.814.1-0.24
Derek Fisher54540.64-0.140.770.2015-112613.112.70.4014.113.70.37
Nick Collison49490.59-0.090.680.0917-133012.812.9-0.1914.913.11.74
Kevin Durant95960.410.090.330.4104-412.912.20.6913.814.6-0.74
Perry Jones21210.270.230.03-0.0310-61613.512.70.8316.013.42.57
Serge Ibaka73730.200.30-0.090.53-1115-2613.012.50.5713.614.7-1.08
Reggie Jackson53560.160.34-0.180.36-711-1812.713.1-0.4013.314.6-1.29
Steven Adams3536-0.090.59-0.69-0.1213-212.313.1-0.7713.414.2-0.76
Thabo Sefolosha4848-0.150.65-0.800.14-1014-2412.912.80.1013.814.0-0.24
Kendrick Perkins4846-0.180.68-0.870.14-1115-2612.613.1-0.4313.913.9-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robbie Hummel18170.14-0.640.780.17-1-3213.214.1-0.9112.512.9-0.46
Ricky Rubio7876-0.13-0.370.24-0.368-122013.415.3-1.9512.912.9-0.02
Nikola Pekovic8484-0.14-0.360.23-0.316-101614.212.91.3012.813.0-0.12
Corey Brewer8887-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.25-1-3214.113.30.7113.311.02.23
Kevin Martin8989-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.517-111813.715.2-1.4913.012.30.63
Dante Cunningham3534-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-106-1613.913.9-0.0612.712.9-0.27
Jose Juan Barea3033-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.12-128-2015.313.41.9512.113.2-1.07
Alexey Shved2018-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.10-139-2214.513.80.7012.313.0-0.63
Kevin Love9897-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.38-40-413.814.8-0.9612.912.50.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.83,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 103, NJN 980.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.69,0.84,0.77,0.37,091.7%
LAL 97, UTA 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.26,091.6%
UTA 88, ORL 860.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.28,091.4%