NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	101		Excitement	8.2 [228]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +85.6%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	89.9 [19]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -22.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.86	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.86	0.05	0.82	0.01	5	70%	0.86	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.12	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.08	0.01	12	36%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Draymond Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Klay Thompson	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	0.04	-0.15	0.04	17	58%	-0.05	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.14,-0.22,-0.12,-0.2,-0.23	-0.08	-0.13	0.02	15	58%	0.13	9	-0.36	8	87%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	9	89%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	83%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.08,0.03,0.06	0.06	-0.14	0.15	-0.04	14	35%	0.15	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.08
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	13	45%	-0.00	5	-0.22	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	26.3	15.6	25.2	1.7	38.7	132.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.6%

ATL -8.8%

GSW +18.1%

ATL -8.2%

GSW +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	12.6	15.6	15.1	100.0	97.1	105.2
season	14.2	14.8		105.9	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.6	13.3	13.3	11.3	12.6
ATL	14.1	16.0	16.0	16.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	58	59	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.52	14	-13	27	11.2	14.5	-3.26	16.3	14.6	1.71
Stephen Curry	72	74	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.49	12	-11	23	12.6	12.8	-0.20	16.4	13.6	2.79
David Lee	82	83	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.48	11	-10	21	12.5	13.3	-0.80	16.2	12.9	3.34
Klay Thompson	83	84	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.44	12	-11	23	12.3	13.8	-1.48	16.2	13.0	3.18
Harrison Barnes	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.56	-2	3	-5	12.6	12.6	0.01	14.5	17.4	-2.97
Andrew Bogut	40	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	-2	5	12.6	12.6	-0.06	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Marreese Speights	23	25	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	9	-17	13.5	12.4	1.12	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Kent Bazemore	30	32	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.01	-9	10	-19	13.7	12.2	1.55	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Toney Douglas	19	21	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	12	-23	13.7	12.4	1.38	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Draymond Green	35	35	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.01	-17	18	-35	13.9	11.9	2.03	15.3	15.7	-0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	46	44	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.04	12	-13	25	15.4	15.8	-0.36	14.3	11.3	2.94
Elton Brand	39	36	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-12	23	15.4	15.7	-0.38	13.5	12.1	1.38
Kyle Korver	69	70	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.31	-8	7	-15	15.7	15.4	0.36	12.0	14.0	-1.95
Mike Scott	39	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	16.7	14.9	1.77	12.6	12.6	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	56	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.61	3	-4	7	15.4	15.9	-0.48	12.9	12.2	0.69
Pero Antic	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	1	-3	15.5	15.7	-0.12	12.6	12.6	0.04
DeMarre Carroll	67	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.60	-1	0	-1	16.1	14.7	1.38	13.1	11.8	1.31
Paul Millsap	74	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.54	-6	5	-11	15.0	17.1	-2.10	12.0	14.2	-2.16
Jeff Teague	69	68	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.55	-10	9	-19	15.5	15.8	-0.26	11.6	14.7	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.55,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 106, PHX 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.31,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.73,0	90.9%
MIN 97, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.84,0	90.5%
CLE 88, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.74,0	90.0%