NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	107		Excitement	13.8 [9]		MVP	John Henson (MIL): +37.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	3.2 [468]		LVP	Brandon Knight (MIL): -45.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.18	0.10	0.03	12	87%	0.35	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	4	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	4	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.27,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.09	0.03	23	41%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	16	37%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.17,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	29	44%	0.09	4	-0.19	8	87%	0.08
Iman Shumpert	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	5	8%	-0.18	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Henson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37	0.37	-0.01	0.38	-0.01	14	53%	0.46	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	3	77%	0.10	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	22	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	10	39%	-0.03	2	-0.16	8	87%	0.11
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.38,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	0.05	-0.46	0.05	25	64%	-0.15	8	-0.31	6	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	29.3	16.4	24.8	1.7	35.8	1.8	19.9	1.8	24.4	181.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.1%

MIL -17.0%

NYK +11.5%

NYK +12.8%

MIL -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.9	15.1	100.0	95.3	105.2
season	16.0	15.7		106.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		109.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	15.0	17.9	18.6	15.0	17.2	16.7
MIL	16.9	13.4	14.8	17.0	18.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	28	24	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.46	3	3	0	12.7	18.2	-5.41	15.1	16.2	-1.03
Carmelo Anthony	102	102	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	16.9	14.6	2.25	15.7	22.5	-6.83
Iman Shumpert	57	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.67	-10	16	-26	17.0	16.4	0.58	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Andrea Bargnani	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-10	26	15.8	18.2	-2.40	16.2	15.5	0.68
Tyson Chandler	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	9	-12	19.3	13.4	5.89	16.6	15.0	1.58
Tim Hardaway Jr.	49	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-7	20	14.4	18.8	-4.39	15.3	16.4	-1.07
J.R. Smith	86	85	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	9	-12	17.3	14.6	2.65	16.3	14.4	1.92
Toure Murry	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	2	2	14.3	17.3	-3.01	16.1	15.9	0.28
Beno Udrih	68	72	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.23	3	3	0	18.4	13.8	4.61	15.9	15.9	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ekpe Udoh	33	31	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.31	-9	3	-12	16.5	15.7	0.81	12.9	18.3	-5.41
Nate Wolters	27	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	17.1	15.5	1.64	15.3	17.2	-1.86
John Henson	93	93	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-8	10	15.8	17.1	-1.31	17.2	14.0	3.16
Brandon Knight	90	94	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.37	3	-9	12	15.5	18.2	-2.67	17.3	12.7	4.62
Ersan Ilyasova	78	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-7	8	15.6	16.9	-1.27	17.8	13.6	4.14
Giannis Antetokounmpo	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-5	4	15.0	17.4	-2.35	18.9	13.3	5.60
Khris Middleton	91	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	16.7	11.3	5.35	17.0	15.2	1.83
Luke Ridnour	37	36	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	7	-20	15.4	16.2	-0.80	11.4	19.5	-8.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.28,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.17,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, TOR 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.16,0	86.8%
UTA 98, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.27,1	86.4%
NJN 86, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.61,0.36,0.23,0.28,1	86.4%