NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	9.1 [125]		MVP	Jared Sullinger (BOS): +33.8%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	2.4 [436]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -17.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	6	86%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	25	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.03
Alexey Shved	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Gorgui Dieng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Robbie Hummel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	16	36%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Corey Brewer	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	8	22%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.10	-0.03	0.02	12	23%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	0.00	-0.16	0.00	10	50%	-0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.24,0.24,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.25	0.02	14	62%	0.43	1	-0.09	11	82%	0.06
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	90%	0.14	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	17	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	11	35%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	30.6	15.6	24.3	2.4	33.4	133.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.3%

BOS +22.5%

BOS +2.5%

MIN -30.9%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.1	102.1	108.6	105.2
season	14.6	15.4		107.3	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		106.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	15.6	16.2	14.5	15.5
BOS	14.2	18.0	13.2	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	24	24	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-12	20	14.9	15.7	-0.83	18.8	13.9	4.98
Dante Cunningham	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	16.6	14.8	1.85	18.6	13.0	5.57
Alexey Shved	49	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.27	8	-12	20	15.0	16.0	-0.98	17.2	12.9	4.27
Jose Juan Barea	53	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.4	16.9	-2.57	16.4	13.6	2.82
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.24	1	-5	6	15.4	15.7	-0.29	17.4	12.4	5.07
Robbie Hummel	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	0	-4	15.6	15.4	0.20	12.6	17.2	-4.61
Corey Brewer	44	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	9	-22	16.6	14.5	2.04	13.5	16.5	-3.03
Ricky Rubio	45	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	7	-18	16.0	15.0	0.96	12.8	17.3	-4.53
Kevin Love	77	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	7	-18	15.0	17.8	-2.82	13.4	21.7	-8.29
Nikola Pekovic	51	52	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.8	1.22	13.5	17.2	-3.76

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	70	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-9	22	13.4	20.3	-6.86	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Kris Humphries	41	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-10	24	14.0	16.1	-2.13	17.1	14.2	2.83
Avery Bradley	67	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	13.2	20.0	-6.80	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Jeff Green	64	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-2	8	13.2	19.5	-6.36	14.9	16.9	-1.93
Vitor Faverani	21	21	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	0	4	15.8	14.9	0.87	17.8	14.9	2.91
Jared Sullinger	72	74	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.35	-9	13	-22	15.1	15.4	-0.37	14.7	18.3	-3.58
Brandon Bass	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	7	-10	13.1	16.1	-2.96	12.9	16.7	-3.85
Gerald Wallace	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	6	-8	19.5	13.2	6.36	16.4	15.1	1.32
Kelly Olynyk	23	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	2	0	19.5	13.7	5.76	17.2	15.0	2.24
Courtney Lee	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	6	-8	20.0	13.2	6.80	16.2	15.2	1.01
Phil Pressey	23	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.06	-9	13	-22	20.3	13.4	6.86	16.5	15.2	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.37,0.75,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 82, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.44,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.6,0.38,0.46,0.77,0.69,1	91.7%
UTA 84, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.54,0.29,0.45,0.37,0.68,0.92,1	90.9%
ORL 106, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	90.8%