NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.0 [260]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +48.6%
San Antonio Spurs	117		Comeback	5.8 [404]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -9.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.49	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.29	0.21	0.01	27	72%	0.50	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Alexey Shved	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	13	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.06	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.10	0.29	0.02	10	71%	0.45	2	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.13	0.01	24	59%	0.31	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	11	86%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	125%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	11	55%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	25.5	15.3	20.6	2.4	31.5	120.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +81.5%

MIN -20.5%

SAS +3.1%

MIN -15.3%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.4	15.1	108.9	117.0	105.2
season	14.6	15.0		107.3	109.8
opponent	15.0	14.5		101.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.4	16.2	12.0	16.7	14.3
SAS	15.3	13.1	16.4	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	77	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.29	7	-14	21	13.3	17.4	-4.08	14.8	13.0	1.80
Robbie Hummel	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-1	-5	16.2	14.0	2.26	15.1	14.3	0.79
Ricky Rubio	78	78	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.33	7	-14	21	13.2	17.9	-4.66	14.8	12.8	2.02
Alexey Shved	16	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	17.2	13.7	3.47	15.1	14.2	0.81
Kevin Love	81	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.34	5	-12	17	13.6	17.1	-3.53	14.8	12.6	2.18
Nikola Pekovic	80	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-4	1	14.3	14.0	0.40	14.1	15.4	-1.25
Kevin Martin	71	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.34	2	-9	11	13.6	15.9	-2.28	14.2	14.8	-0.54
Luc Mbah a Moute	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	5	-17	16.7	13.6	3.09	12.6	14.9	-2.31
Jose Juan Barea	26	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	6	-19	16.8	13.4	3.37	12.6	15.0	-2.39
Dante Cunningham	40	40	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.07	-16	9	-25	15.8	13.2	2.62	14.2	14.5	-0.32

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	51	52	1.07	-0.57	1.64	0.28	27	-20	47	13.4	15.4	-1.96	15.8	12.6	3.25
Boris Diaw	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-4	15	14.4	14.3	0.15	14.8	13.5	1.23
Matt Bonner	17	16	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.00	10	-3	13	12.8	14.7	-1.89	16.7	13.8	2.95
Tony Parker	75	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	10	-13	14.7	13.4	1.32	13.5	16.6	-3.05
Kawhi Leonard	73	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	12	-17	14.5	14.2	0.23	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Tim Duncan	74	75	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.25	-2	9	-11	14.3	14.6	-0.30	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Patty Mills	14	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	0	7	13.1	14.6	-1.53	16.1	13.9	2.19
Marco Belinelli	58	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	2	3	14.6	14.0	0.59	15.0	13.3	1.76
Cory Joseph	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	13.8	14.5	-0.64	17.2	13.9	3.25
Jeff Ayres	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	15.4	13.7	1.67	13.4	14.9	-1.48
Danny Green	25	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	19	-31	15.1	14.1	0.97	11.8	15.1	-3.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.41,0.35,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	91.9%
NJN 118, GSW 124	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.91,1	90.9%
ORL 91, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.62,0.63,0.87,0.96,1	90.8%