NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	6.8 [464]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +23.6%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	12.0 [156]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (BOS): -22.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.09	0.00	9	78%	0.24	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0,0,-0.05	0.07	-0.09	0.02	24	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	22	46%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Iman Shumpert	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	6	36%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.01	0.14	-0.03	12	46%	0.18	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	8	90%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	4	87%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	47%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.02	0.02	9	76%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	8	11%	-0.17	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	31.4	15.5	25.4	2.5	30.6	130.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +77.5%

NYK -17.9%

BOS +6.7%

NYK -21.5%

BOS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.1	98.9	104.7	105.2
season	16.0	15.4		106.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		106.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	17.9	16.8	18.5	17.4
BOS	18.8	12.8	17.5	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	42	40	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.17	2	-6	8	17.4	17.4	0.03	16.7	15.1	1.64
Kenyon Martin	45	44	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.13	3	-7	10	16.8	18.1	-1.27	15.9	15.8	0.08
Metta World Peace	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-4	4	0.0	17.4	-17.41	10.0	15.9	-5.94
Cole Aldrich	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.02	0	-4	4	0.0	17.4	-17.41	10.0	15.9	-5.94
Tim Hardaway Jr.	18	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	7	-18	15.4	17.9	-2.48	14.5	16.2	-1.69
Pablo Prigioni	67	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.51	10	-14	24	17.5	17.0	0.54	16.7	13.3	3.35
Andrea Bargnani	66	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.69	14	-18	32	18.0	15.7	2.24	16.2	14.7	1.52
Beno Udrih	19	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	10	-24	17.9	17.3	0.62	13.3	16.7	-3.35
Carmelo Anthony	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-8	12	17.5	17.1	0.38	16.2	14.1	2.08
Amar'e Stoudemire	54	52	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	11	-26	17.9	16.7	1.15	15.8	16.0	-0.16
J.R. Smith	49	49	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.46	-13	9	-22	17.0	17.9	-0.85	15.0	17.1	-2.07

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitor Faverani	24	24	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.51	11	-7	18	15.8	15.9	-0.05	18.7	16.9	1.79
Avery Bradley	56	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.63	-7	11	-18	16.5	14.7	1.80	17.6	17.1	0.54
Jeff Green	53	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.63	-8	12	-20	16.4	15.1	1.27	17.5	17.3	0.23
Jordan Crawford	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.56	-10	14	-24	16.4	14.8	1.65	18.2	16.1	2.04
Phil Pressey	24	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	-12	28	14.0	16.6	-2.65	16.8	17.7	-0.92
Brandon Bass	63	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.51	-11	15	-26	17.0	12.9	4.10	16.9	18.8	-1.92
Courtney Lee	33	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.30	14	-10	24	15.1	16.4	-1.27	17.2	17.6	-0.36
Kelly Olynyk	27	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.20	8	-4	12	14.7	16.4	-1.70	16.8	17.7	-0.92
Gerald Wallace	36	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.17	7	-3	10	15.3	16.3	-1.02	16.6	18.1	-1.54
Jared Sullinger	58	59	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	4	-4	15.2	17.2	-1.94	17.7	16.7	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.91,1	91.7%
UTA 104, POR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.41,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.46,0.68,0.99,1	90.4%
MIL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.57,0.77,1	90.3%