NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	99		Excitement	7.0 [409]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +21.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	11.0 [528]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -33.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.09	-0.01	12	74%	0.29	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
James Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.00	0.02	8	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hollis Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.11	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.05	13	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.03
Brandon Davies	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	3	67%	0.05	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.34	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.21	-0.16	-0.03	16	41%	-0.09	9	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.08	0.03	6	83%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	15	62%	0.19	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	62%	0.15	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.01,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	21	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	9	23%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	5	15%	-0.11	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	31.2	15.4	27.4	0.8	32.2	132.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -32.7%

MIN +14.3%

MIN +37.0%

MIN +30.2%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	11.8	16.3	15.1	97.1	102.9	105.2
season	13.7	14.6		98.4	107.3
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	10.2	13.7	11.4	12.1	11.8
MIN	15.9	15.7	16.3	17.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Williams	18	18	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-12	17	12.6	11.7	0.89	14.4	16.6	-2.26
Lorenzo Brown	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-7	7	12.8	11.2	1.60	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Brandon Davies	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	13.3	11.4	1.91	14.9	16.6	-1.72
Thaddeus Young	73	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-4	1	11.4	12.9	-1.45	16.2	16.4	-0.27
Lavoy Allen	34	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	13.0	11.2	1.76	16.5	16.1	0.43
Tony Wroten	59	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	11.2	12.7	-1.43	16.5	15.8	0.70
Evan Turner	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	11.3	14.0	-2.77	16.4	15.7	0.68
Spencer Hawes	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	0	-7	11.2	13.4	-2.16	16.6	15.3	1.35
James Anderson	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-6	5	11.8	11.8	-0.02	17.2	14.7	2.49
Hollis Thompson	41	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	6	-19	12.5	11.4	1.15	15.3	16.9	-1.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	24	25	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-9	25	16.1	16.3	-0.22	11.8	11.8	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-9	25	16.3	16.1	0.20	12.3	10.0	2.24
Jose Juan Barea	27	26	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	16.4	16.2	0.16	15.1	10.7	4.37
Dante Cunningham	43	42	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	15.9	16.5	-0.55	12.4	11.4	0.95
Ricky Rubio	78	78	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	10	-13	16.6	15.3	1.23	10.8	15.0	-4.21
Kevin Love	81	81	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	13	-19	16.4	15.8	0.61	11.1	14.7	-3.64
Luc Mbah a Moute	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	2	3	17.0	16.0	1.00	12.9	11.5	1.40
Corey Brewer	76	76	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	10	-13	16.2	16.4	-0.16	10.7	15.1	-4.37
Kevin Martin	59	59	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	11	-15	16.0	16.6	-0.59	12.0	11.6	0.42
Alexey Shved	19	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	7	-7	15.0	16.5	-1.54	14.2	11.3	2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.72,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,0.99,1	93.3%
SAS 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.95,1	92.1%
MIL 92, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.93,1,0.99,1	92.1%