inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 101 Excitement6.5 [531] MVPShelvin Mack (ATL): +13.5%
Atlanta Hawks 92 Comeback1.2 [930] LVPAl Horford (ATL): -13.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.03-0.041059%0.152-0.062100%0.01
Nick Collison0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.01367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.021100%0.061-0.002100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.021454%0.081-0.02771%-0.01
Andre Roberson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01961%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.022153%0.075-0.141573%-0.03
Derek Fisher-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13-0.180.04-0.012132%-0.044-0.10250%-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.130.020.02994%0.202-0.0700%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.020.02-0.001848%0.071-0.031292%0.06
Louis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.030.00667%0.112-0.0700%0.00
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.03-0.011546%0.074-0.107100%0.04
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.011041%-0.0400.0020%-0.04
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.00633%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.020.0020%-0.071-0.0320%-0.03
DeMarre Carroll0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.001032%-0.062-0.072100%0.01
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.030.011032%-0.102-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.733.515.729.01.832.2137.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +40.7%
ATL -10.0%
OKC +17.1%
ATL -2.1%
OKC +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCATLNBAOKCATLNBA
this game14.113.815.197.189.3105.2
season14.414.8107.8103.8
opponent15.315.4104.7102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.111.114.614.814.1
ATL15.914.111.613.913.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant78790.70-0.200.900.2017-82514.114.1-0.0314.411.82.52
Serge Ibaka69680.440.060.380.2954114.413.31.1614.113.20.90
Russell Westbrook74730.410.090.330.1881714.213.60.6014.511.92.68
Reggie Jackson69670.350.150.200.2054113.215.7-2.4513.115.0-1.94
Kendrick Perkins51490.250.250.000.0863314.713.41.3514.513.11.42
Nick Collison44450.150.35-0.190.0927-514.513.70.8114.313.40.89
Jeremy Lamb49490.140.36-0.23-0.0154113.214.8-1.5413.014.5-1.54
Derek Fisher33340.100.40-0.290.0236-313.114.5-1.4212.914.2-1.23
Andre Roberson26240.010.49-0.490.09-312-1515.513.61.8714.113.70.47
Steven Adams2727-0.060.56-0.610.03-312-1514.014.1-0.1310.914.8-3.95

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelvin Mack40430.07-0.570.64-0.178-172512.414.6-2.1914.913.51.37
Elton Brand37360.06-0.560.62-0.085-141911.315.2-3.9013.214.5-1.36
Paul Millsap7981-0.05-0.450.40-0.267-162313.016.3-3.3514.911.23.65
Cartier Martin1413-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-759.914.4-4.5213.014.2-1.21
Louis Williams4445-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-4-113.414.1-0.6612.815.0-2.18
Jeff Teague7776-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.18-7-2-513.714.0-0.3614.512.81.74
DeMarre Carroll5756-0.40-0.10-0.310.01-145-1915.511.63.9413.714.5-0.82
Mike Scott2423-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-167-2316.313.03.3511.214.9-3.65
Kyle Korver7780-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.23-8-1-714.212.51.6414.113.70.40
Al Horford6667-0.550.05-0.60-0.17-134-1715.211.33.9014.712.81.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.15,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 92, MIN 770.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
MEM 103, LAC 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,094.3%
MEM 102, POR 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,093.9%