NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	4.6 [911]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +15.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.1 [1227]		LVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): -18.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	14	62%	0.17	1	-0.01	14	57%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	18	61%	0.09	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	15	32%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	12	32%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	7	69%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Daniel Orton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.03	1	0.01	2	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	23	51%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	38%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	16	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	12	30%	-0.10	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	27.3	15.7	28.1	2.4	31.9	134.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.6%

LAC +6.6%

PHI -3.7%

LAC +4.4%

LAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.1	97.9	83.8	105.2
season	14.3	13.7		111.0	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	15.3	14.7	18.5	15.7
PHI	14.2	13.0	14.7	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	71	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-7	25	15.6	16.0	-0.31	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Chris Paul	69	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-7	25	16.1	14.7	1.43	13.9	13.7	0.18
Blake Griffin	79	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	0	11	16.1	14.1	2.03	13.7	14.4	-0.67
DeAndre Jordan	79	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	16.0	14.3	1.74	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Jared Dudley	75	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	5	1	16.4	13.5	2.88	14.0	13.3	0.67
Jamal Crawford	46	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	14	-17	15.2	16.2	-1.07	14.1	13.6	0.44
Ryan Hollins	13	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	13.6	16.1	-2.44	12.4	14.1	-1.67
Antawn Jamison	20	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	14.1	16.1	-1.99	15.8	13.3	2.49
Darren Collison	28	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	17	-23	14.4	16.3	-1.89	13.7	13.9	-0.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	45	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-16	21	14.7	13.1	1.56	16.2	15.3	0.91
Brandon Davies	29	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-10	9	15.1	13.3	1.74	14.9	16.0	-1.09
James Anderson	36	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-12	13	14.4	13.5	0.87	14.6	16.4	-1.73
Lorenzo Brown	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-8	5	15.7	13.2	2.47	13.5	16.4	-2.90
Daniel Orton	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-6	1	11.6	14.0	-2.41	13.4	15.9	-2.48
Thaddeus Young	67	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-4	-3	13.4	14.8	-1.49	16.3	14.1	2.20
Tony Wroten	75	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	13.2	15.7	-2.47	16.4	13.5	2.90
Spencer Hawes	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	3	-17	13.3	14.3	-0.97	15.1	16.3	-1.17
Hollis Thompson	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	1	-13	14.1	12.9	1.18	16.5	12.6	3.93
Evan Turner	84	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	0	-11	13.4	16.5	-3.10	15.5	17.1	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.7%
WAS 101, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.6%
CHI 104, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%