NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	106		Excitement	5.5 [734]		MVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): +27.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	94		Comeback	1.0 [467]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -20.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.22	0.04	-0.01	17	84%	0.31	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Julyan Stone	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	13	72%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Terrence Ross	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.05	0.04	19	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	11	91%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Novak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	9	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.00	8	89%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	5	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	16	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	29%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.06	-0.05	9	36%	-0.02	8	-0.19	7	71%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	27.5	15.8	24.2	2.5	34.3	130.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +26.8%

TOR +3.4%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +18.2%

LAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.1	15.1	109.3	95.9	105.2
season	15.9	14.0		107.2	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.1		108.9	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	15.1	15.2	16.0	15.5
LAL	14.5	13.7	14.2	14.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	73	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.05	22	-10	32	15.0	16.9	-1.89	14.4	13.0	1.39
DeMar DeRozan	84	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.05	22	-10	32	15.6	14.6	0.97	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Kyle Lowry	72	73	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-7	26	15.5	15.2	0.29	14.5	12.8	1.73
Landry Fields	62	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	3	6	15.7	15.0	0.66	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Jonas Valanciunas	57	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	3	6	16.0	14.7	1.33	13.9	14.3	-0.38
Terrence Ross	58	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.27	-5	17	-22	15.1	15.9	-0.79	13.8	14.5	-0.62
Steve Novak	54	56	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	21	-30	15.4	15.6	-0.19	14.2	14.0	0.24
Julyan Stone	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	19	-26	15.2	15.5	-0.29	12.8	14.5	-1.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Henry	31	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-21	30	12.6	14.8	-2.16	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Shawne Williams	47	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-14	16	13.5	14.6	-1.16	16.1	14.8	1.35
Jordan Hill	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-13	14	12.9	15.0	-2.07	15.6	15.3	0.25
Jodie Meeks	72	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-14	16	13.3	16.2	-2.86	15.9	14.2	1.67
Nick Young	62	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-13	14	13.8	14.6	-0.78	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Pau Gasol	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	0	-12	14.5	13.7	0.76	15.4	15.5	-0.03
Robert Sacre	19	18	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	2	-16	18.2	13.1	5.11	13.8	15.8	-2.06
Wesley Johnson	50	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	0	-12	15.2	12.9	2.34	14.9	16.0	-1.12
Kobe Bryant	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	4	-20	14.3	13.8	0.54	15.5	15.3	0.18
Steve Blake	60	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	9	-30	14.6	13.3	1.27	15.4	15.5	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	94.0%
BOS 106, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	93.6%
NJN 98, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%