NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	5.6 [667]		MVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): +11.5%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.0 [1117]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CHI): -12.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.02	9	81%	0.19	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	13	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	14	71%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
James Posey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	7	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	9	79%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	16	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.08	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	28.2	15.4	28.3	1.8	30.2	133.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.7%

BOS +2.0%

BOS +7.5%

CHI -5.7%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.4	114.0	97.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.0		108.0	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.4	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.7	13.2	17.1	14.9
CHI	16.4	17.2	15.0	14.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	1	12	14.6	15.9	-1.27	15.9	15.7	0.26
Kevin Garnett	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-1	16	14.1	16.7	-2.61	15.9	15.7	0.23
Ray Allen	68	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	1	12	14.4	16.4	-2.02	16.1	15.3	0.75
Kendrick Perkins	49	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	4	6	13.1	16.9	-3.81	16.6	15.2	1.41
Rajon Rondo	62	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.01	11	3	8	13.8	17.2	-3.40	16.5	14.8	1.64
Leon Powe	27	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	11	-8	17.3	14.0	3.29	17.4	15.2	2.22
James Posey	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	12	-10	16.9	13.3	3.60	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Sam Cassell	25	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	14	-14	16.5	14.4	2.13	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Tony Allen	34	33	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	13	-12	16.2	14.2	1.97	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Eddie House	9	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	10	-6	18.8	14.5	4.27	11.1	16.4	-5.34
Glen Davis	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	16	-18	15.4	14.9	0.56	12.1	16.4	-4.28

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-16	18	14.7	16.5	-1.76	17.3	13.7	3.69
Ben Gordon	28	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-12	10	16.6	15.6	1.05	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Larry Hughes	43	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-7	0	16.5	15.3	1.18	13.2	16.3	-3.05
Andres Nocioni	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-10	6	15.7	16.0	-0.36	16.7	13.5	3.18
Aaron Gray	16	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-8	2	16.1	15.8	0.23	17.2	14.5	2.73
Chris Duhon	31	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-7	0	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.5	14.6	0.89
Kirk Hinrich	62	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	15.0	17.6	-2.66	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Joakim Noah	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	16.2	14.9	1.31	14.3	17.0	-2.72
Luol Deng	68	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	15.5	16.8	-1.29	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Tyrus Thomas	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	4	-22	16.2	14.9	1.31	14.4	16.9	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, CHA 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 82, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.2%
GSW 108, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%