NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	2.2 [1284]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +6.3%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.1 [1047]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -11.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nemanja Nedovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02	2	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	6	75%	-0.01	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	10%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	14	56%	0.01	8	-0.08	11	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	16	39%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	10	24%	-0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	22	64%	0.09	4	-0.03	9	78%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.09	3	-0.03	20	60%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.11	13	31%	-0.01	2	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	37%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	32.5	15.7	29.2	2.5	26.8	133.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.4%

HOU +1.9%

HOU +7.5%

HOU +9.3%

GSW -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	14.3	15.1	81.4	102.9	105.2
season	14.2	14.3		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		105.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.5	12.3	12.9	13.4	13.9
HOU	12.5	12.6	15.3	17.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-16	10	14.0	13.9	0.10	15.4	13.7	1.71
Marreese Speights	45	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-23	24	13.8	14.0	-0.16	14.9	13.8	1.10
Jermaine O'Neal	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-22	22	13.5	14.2	-0.70	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Nemanja Nedovic	23	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-10	-2	14.7	13.7	0.99	15.9	13.9	1.96
Draymond Green	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-19	16	13.4	14.8	-1.47	15.0	13.2	1.86
Andrew Bogut	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-4	-14	14.9	13.3	1.65	13.4	14.9	-1.49
David Lee	48	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-2	-18	14.0	13.8	0.21	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Stephen Curry	72	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	13.5	15.0	-1.47	13.6	16.1	-2.56
Klay Thompson	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	-6	-10	14.3	13.1	1.19	14.1	15.0	-0.90
Harrison Barnes	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.27	-24	2	-26	13.9	14.0	-0.09	14.6	13.4	1.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	82	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	-3	28	14.5	13.7	0.75	14.4	12.0	2.37
Dwight Howard	73	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	0	22	14.5	13.9	0.52	14.4	12.8	1.54
Terrence Jones	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.17	19	3	16	14.1	14.6	-0.52	14.5	12.9	1.67
Patrick Beverley	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	9	4	14.2	14.6	-0.40	14.2	13.3	0.87
Chandler Parsons	75	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	16	-10	14.1	14.9	-0.80	13.7	14.4	-0.70
Aaron Brooks	37	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	14	-6	14.3	14.3	0.03	13.0	14.4	-1.44
Francisco Garcia	38	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	13	-4	14.1	14.5	-0.40	13.9	14.0	-0.11
Omri Casspi	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	19	-16	14.6	14.1	0.52	12.9	14.5	-1.67
Donatas Motiejunas	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	22	-22	13.9	14.5	-0.52	12.8	14.4	-1.54
Ronnie Brewer	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	17	-12	18.6	14.1	4.52	12.8	14.0	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 79, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
SEA 78, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 79, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%