inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Excitement8.8 [157] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +36.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 111 Comeback4.4 [370] LVPKendrick Perkins (OKC): -21.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0.190,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19-0.010.17-0.021754%0.263-0.075100%0.06
Nick Collison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.03-0.00350%0.0400.002100%0.02
Reggie Jackson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.001150%0.0300.002100%0.03
Perry Jones0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.020.00362%0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Kevin Durant0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.010.06-0.040.012357%0.114-0.091283%0.05
Serge Ibaka-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.011348%0.082-0.081100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.030.001050%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22-0.04-0.180.0000%0.002-0.2200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.13,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.360.360.200.190.032863%0.3600.004100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.140.140.030.11-0.001070%0.233-0.0900%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.03-0.00750%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.021155%0.0100.0000%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021246%0.022-0.044100%0.06
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00540%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00935%-0.032-0.06250%-0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.050.001442%-0.052-0.05580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.71.828.014.725.11.735.0130.1
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +30.4%
OKC -17.7%
POR +17.7%
POR +24.5%
OKC -4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCPORNBAOKCPORNBA
this game13.815.915.1108.3113.3105.2
season14.415.1107.8109.6
opponent14.815.4106.5102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.613.914.912.813.8
POR14.118.014.517.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Perry Jones9100.07-0.570.63-0.023-101314.313.70.6120.715.35.36
Nick Collison3030-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-101314.213.60.6619.314.44.87
Jeremy Lamb4648-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-111514.513.11.4218.013.94.06
Thabo Sefolosha4444-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-3-113.813.70.1113.617.7-4.09
Derek Fisher1818-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-6512.814.0-1.1720.314.95.38
Steven Adams2928-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.02-81-912.314.4-2.0615.216.1-0.89
Reggie Jackson5357-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.32-1-6513.514.1-0.5617.513.63.87
Kendrick Perkins3838-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-92-1113.514.0-0.4714.216.9-2.70
Serge Ibaka7374-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.20-6-1-513.913.50.4014.919.0-4.12
Kevin Durant7880-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.21-6-1-514.012.81.1714.920.3-5.38
Russell Westbrook6263-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.19-103-1313.813.70.1614.518.4-3.86

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damian Lillard73730.76-0.261.020.3215-82316.015.60.3313.813.70.11
Wesley Matthews69670.59-0.090.670.2113-61914.818.5-3.6913.714.0-0.36
LaMarcus Aldridge78760.53-0.030.550.2310-31314.620.7-6.1114.112.61.49
Robin Lopez66670.490.010.480.1711-41515.816.0-0.1714.212.81.47
Nicolas Batum75730.460.040.410.2570714.520.4-5.9414.013.10.91
Joel Freeland32290.020.48-0.460.14-411-1516.015.80.1712.814.2-1.47
Thomas Robinson2020-0.030.53-0.550.06-310-1320.714.66.1112.614.1-1.49
Dorell Wright2929-0.090.59-0.670.09-613-1918.514.83.6914.013.70.36
Mo Williams4846-0.230.73-0.960.01-815-2317.913.94.0213.414.1-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 110, SAS 1160.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.86,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.83,0.73,191.6%
POR 99, CLE 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.88,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.67,0.95,191.3%
UTA 78, MEM 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,191.2%