NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	7.1 [403]		MVP	Jeremy Lamb (OKC): +17.5%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	3.2 [695]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -28.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	8	78%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.10	-0.02	10	59%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	21	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.06
Derek Fisher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	14	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.29	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	19	39%	-0.04	7	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.06	-0.02	18	62%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	10	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	9	15%	-0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.0	26.2	15.6	27.9	1.0	28.1	126.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +52.4%

OKC +2.1%

OKC +23.1%

SAC -31.9%

OKC +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	16.5	15.1	105.4	103.3	105.2
season	14.4	15.4		107.8	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	14.8	13.0	17.3	14.8
SAC	14.1	18.6	17.5	16.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	58	58	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.27	16	-14	30	14.8	14.7	0.10	17.0	15.7	1.31
Jeremy Lamb	46	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-5	12	14.4	15.2	-0.80	17.7	15.4	2.33
Kevin Durant	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	14.5	15.9	-1.41	15.6	21.5	-5.90
Nick Collison	34	32	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-12	26	13.8	15.4	-1.60	18.7	15.3	3.40
Steven Adams	27	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-8	18	13.1	15.4	-2.30	18.6	15.7	2.92
Serge Ibaka	65	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.40	-8	10	-18	15.4	13.1	2.30	15.7	18.6	-2.92
Russell Westbrook	62	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.39	-10	12	-22	15.5	13.3	2.18	15.5	18.7	-3.17
Derek Fisher	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	0	2	15.7	14.4	1.35	17.7	16.0	1.70
Thabo Sefolosha	33	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	9	-16	14.8	14.7	0.07	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Kendrick Perkins	31	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.21	-16	18	-34	14.7	14.8	-0.14	15.4	17.1	-1.68

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	36	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-10	18	16.1	16.8	-0.65	14.1	15.2	-1.15
Marcus Thornton	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-10	18	16.9	16.3	0.59	15.0	14.6	0.38
Jason Thompson	64	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-11	20	16.2	17.3	-1.08	15.9	12.3	3.54
Derrick Williams	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	1	-4	16.3	16.8	-0.48	13.9	15.9	-2.04
Hamady Ndiaye	13	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	6	-14	16.2	16.6	-0.35	12.1	15.3	-3.23
Greivis Vasquez	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.10	14.5	15.1	-0.67
Isaiah Thomas	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	16.6	16.5	0.10	15.1	14.5	0.67
Ben McLemore	56	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	8	-18	16.3	16.9	-0.59	14.6	15.0	-0.38
Patrick Patterson	61	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	2	-6	17.0	15.6	1.39	14.8	14.7	0.11
John Salmons	48	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	6	-14	17.0	16.0	0.93	15.6	13.9	1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0	92.4%
IND 92, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.23,0.09,0	92.3%
CLE 94, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0,0	92.0%