NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	115		Excitement	9.0 [131]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +41.7%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	2.5 [559]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -44.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.07,0.33,0.42	0.10	0.31	-0.01	24	71%	0.64	7	-0.22	3	100%	0.09
Draymond Green	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.26	0.08	0.19	0.01	4	90%	0.26	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.13	0.03	19	74%	0.36	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	73%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
David Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Nemanja Nedovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.13	0.29	0.02	8	112%	0.47	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.23	0.05	13	77%	0.44	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.00	11	78%	0.26	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	8	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.22,-0.33,-0.45	-0.45	-0.14	-0.30	0.01	16	45%	-0.26	7	-0.18	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.3	14.8	29.2	2.7	38.6	140.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +34.3%

GSW +4.5%

SAC -7.1%

GSW +16.0%

GSW +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAC	NBA	GSW	SAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	15.1	112.7	110.8	105.2
season	14.2	15.4		105.9	104.5
opponent	14.7	15.3		107.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.8	14.3	12.4	15.1	14.1
SAC	12.4	13.9	14.8	15.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	45	44	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-9	20	14.6	13.8	0.80	14.5	13.8	0.66
Stephen Curry	86	85	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	1	0	13.7	16.1	-2.39	14.3	13.1	1.28
Klay Thompson	86	88	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	13.8	15.8	-2.02	14.3	13.0	1.31
David Lee	74	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	-1	4	13.8	15.0	-1.23	14.3	13.6	0.74
Harrison Barnes	83	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.46	-7	9	-16	14.2	13.8	0.33	13.7	15.7	-1.96
Andrew Bogut	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	6	-10	13.2	15.0	-1.78	14.2	14.0	0.17
Jermaine O'Neal	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	15.1	13.4	1.69	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Marreese Speights	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	-1	4	15.8	13.6	2.20	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Nemanja Nedovic	17	17	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	15.4	13.8	1.56	13.1	14.3	-1.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	45	45	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.03	19	-21	40	13.7	14.5	-0.75	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Ben McLemore	42	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	0	-2	13.5	14.6	-1.11	13.4	14.5	-1.12
Derrick Williams	48	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	1	-4	13.6	14.6	-0.91	13.5	14.6	-1.11
Greivis Vasquez	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	4	-10	12.9	14.7	-1.73	13.5	14.4	-0.93
Isaiah Thomas	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	14.7	12.9	1.73	14.4	13.5	0.93
Patrick Patterson	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-3	4	14.4	13.8	0.63	14.6	13.5	1.07
John Salmons	54	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-3	4	14.6	13.6	0.91	14.6	13.5	1.11
Charles Hayes	44	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	11	-24	14.3	14.0	0.26	14.2	14.1	0.13
Marcus Thornton	60	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.6	13.5	1.11	14.5	13.4	1.12
Jason Thompson	60	58	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.50	-11	9	-20	14.1	14.2	-0.15	13.8	14.5	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.39,0.47,0.63,0.45,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 92, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,0	91.2%
NYK 99, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.15,0.27,0	90.7%
MIL 90, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.15,0	90.5%