NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	6.8 [468]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): +15.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	1.9 [699]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -28.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	18	37%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.13	0.01	16	42%	-0.12	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.02	14	37%	-0.10	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.06	0.04	14	77%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.00	7	86%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	23	49%	0.01	6	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.10	-0.04	16	17%	-0.19	2	-0.09	4	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	27.5	15.3	23.6	2.5	29.6	122.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.7%

OKC +3.8%

SAS -5.4%

OKC +4.2%

SAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.1	90.7	95.9	105.2
season	15.0	14.4		109.8	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	15.7	15.3	13.2	14.8
OKC	14.8	14.9	13.5	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	3	4	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.02	8	-14	22	7.7	15.1	-7.39	25.2	14.3	10.98
Cory Joseph	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	9.0	14.9	-5.89	9.0	14.8	-5.77
Patty Mills	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-9	12	14.6	14.9	-0.34	18.6	13.3	5.31
Marco Belinelli	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-10	14	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.8	14.1	1.71
Danny Green	52	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-8	10	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.9	13.6	2.29
Tiago Splitter	51	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	15.5	14.0	1.53	14.2	15.3	-1.12
Jeff Ayres	21	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	2	-10	15.9	14.5	1.32	17.9	13.8	4.12
Boris Diaw	36	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.9	-0.16	15.7	14.1	1.54
Tim Duncan	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	14.7	15.1	-0.37	12.9	17.5	-4.55
Tony Parker	71	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	3	-12	14.9	14.6	0.34	13.3	18.6	-5.31
Manu Ginobili	53	55	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	5	-16	13.9	16.0	-2.11	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Kawhi Leonard	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	15.1	13.7	1.42	13.8	18.5	-4.66

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	80	78	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	0	6	13.7	19.0	-5.25	15.0	13.9	1.09
Serge Ibaka	78	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	14.4	16.0	-1.62	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Thabo Sefolosha	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-1	8	12.5	18.4	-5.89	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Russell Westbrook	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	13.2	18.2	-5.02	14.9	14.7	0.14
Reggie Jackson	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	1	4	16.5	12.8	3.66	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Kendrick Perkins	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	-1	8	12.4	16.2	-3.79	16.1	14.1	1.99
Jeremy Lamb	37	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	18.4	12.5	5.89	14.9	14.8	0.06
Nick Collison	36	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	17.9	12.9	5.06	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Steven Adams	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	9	-12	15.3	14.5	0.77	15.5	14.6	0.87
Derek Fisher	18	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	6	-6	19.0	13.7	5.25	13.9	15.0	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.8,0.94,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	94.0%
PHX 84, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.0%