NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	5.9 [643]		MVP	Andrew Nicholson (ORL): +28.3%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.2 [638]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -30.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.02	0.15	-0.03	15	45%	0.21	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.01	0.07	17	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.11	0.00	8	86%	0.28	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.32,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.18	-0.09	0.04	12	23%	-0.20	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	25.4	15.4	23.4	2.4	26.6	118.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +47.1%

ORL -15.3%

PHX +6.5%

PHX +12.5%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.6	15.1	109.5	102.1	105.2
season	14.7	15.3		107.7	100.4
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	15.5	16.3	18.1	15.8
ORL	13.8	14.5	15.7	14.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-7	22	15.9	15.7	0.13	14.4	15.3	-0.87
Goran Dragic	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-7	22	16.2	15.0	1.20	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Markieff Morris	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.4	13.6	1.72
PJ Tucker	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-5	18	15.0	17.2	-2.17	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Marcus Morris	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	16.1	15.5	0.66	15.5	13.6	1.91
Channing Frye	66	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	16.4	14.6	1.74	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Miles Plumlee	53	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	11	-14	15.6	16.1	-0.52	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Ish Smith	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	15	-22	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.3	14.3	0.97
Archie Goodwin	27	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	15	-22	15.7	15.9	-0.13	15.3	14.4	0.87

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-12	16	16.1	13.9	2.18	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Maurice Harkless	30	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	0	-8	14.0	14.9	-0.89	15.5	16.0	-0.56
E'Twaun Moore	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-3	-2	15.9	14.1	1.74	14.7	16.3	-1.63
Glen Davis	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-4	0	15.5	13.9	1.62	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Andrew Nicholson	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-9	10	14.8	14.5	0.33	16.3	15.4	0.90
Nikola Vucevic	65	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.37	16.4	14.6	1.84
Jameer Nelson	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	14.4	15.8	-1.48	16.2	14.2	2.05
Victor Oladipo	77	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	0	-8	14.2	16.8	-2.60	16.0	15.2	0.73
Arron Afflalo	70	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	14.3	15.5	-1.21	16.0	15.2	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	94.3%
MIA 90, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%
CHI 101, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.02,0	93.5%