NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	109		Excitement	5.8 [680]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +34.4%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	3.6 [262]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BKN): -16.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	16	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Charlie Villanueva	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Peyton Siva	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Mitchell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.33	0.04	0.02	18	87%	0.34	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tornike Shengelia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	0.05	13	58%	0.03	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	9	22%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.5	0.7	28.0	1.7	45.3	128.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +5.9%

DET +6.4%

DET +8.7%

DET +24.4%

DET +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BKN	NBA	DET	BKN	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.1	117.2	104.3	105.2
season	15.0	15.7		104.7	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.0		106.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	20.1	13.6	15.9	16.1
BKN	15.9	15.2	16.4	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Stuckey	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-3	18	17.3	14.1	3.12	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Josh Smith	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	-2	16	15.5	17.5	-1.97	15.3	14.0	1.26
Josh Harrellson	23	22	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	1	10	14.1	16.7	-2.66	15.2	14.8	0.45
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	6	0	14.7	17.5	-2.76	15.8	13.9	1.84
Greg Monroe	65	67	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	3	6	15.8	16.8	-1.05	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Kyle Singler	50	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	5	2	17.2	14.8	2.41	14.4	15.4	-0.96
Brandon Jennings	78	80	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	7	-2	16.2	15.4	0.82	14.8	15.4	-0.58
Charlie Villanueva	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	12	-12	17.4	15.6	1.74	13.5	15.3	-1.86
Peyton Siva	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	9.0	16.2	-7.24	8.0	15.0	-7.03
Tony Mitchell	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	17.0	16.1	0.92	8.0	15.0	-6.96
Andre Drummond	51	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	17	-22	16.4	15.7	0.76	15.5	14.1	1.37

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	48	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-12	12	15.5	14.2	1.36	16.9	15.2	1.72
Reggie Evans	29	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.0	-0.48	16.8	15.8	1.00
Tornike Shengelia	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-7	2	9.4	15.5	-6.02	18.5	15.8	2.70
Shaun Livingston	67	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-11	10	15.7	12.8	2.88	16.5	15.2	1.23
Mirza Teletovic	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-11	10	13.0	15.7	-2.68	16.5	15.9	0.66
Kevin Garnett	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	15.5	14.3	1.17	15.2	16.9	-1.72
Alan Anderson	52	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-8	4	14.2	15.8	-1.61	16.3	15.8	0.55
Mason Plumlee	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	15.2	14.8	0.43	15.3	16.4	-1.03
Tyshawn Taylor	22	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	13.8	15.2	-1.39	16.4	16.0	0.39
Paul Pierce	55	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	4	-20	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.0	17.5	-2.52
Joe Johnson	84	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	15.5	9.4	6.02	15.8	18.5	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.19,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DAL 93, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.19,0.34,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
MIA 100, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.7%