NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	7.2 [383]		MVP	Brandon Bass (BOS): +13.0%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	11.2 [46]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -19.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Bass	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	11	59%	0.21	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.09
Gerald Wallace	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.02	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	9	46%	0.10	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Jared Sullinger	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.01	12	54%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	13	43%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Green	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	10	57%	-0.06	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	19	47%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	6	36%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	15	34%	-0.17	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	28.2	15.6	28.5	1.8	38.3	137.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.7%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +20.4%

ATL -28.9%

BOS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.1	97.9	90.6	105.2
season	15.4	14.8		101.2	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	15.3	15.0	14.0	15.2
ATL	13.6	16.0	15.0	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	72	71	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.27	23	-16	39	15.1	15.3	-0.18	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Brandon Bass	70	70	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-1	9	14.7	16.3	-1.63	13.4	18.7	-5.33
Jared Sullinger	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-5	17	16.1	13.4	2.79	15.6	13.5	2.13
Jeff Green	73	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	3	1	15.1	15.4	-0.37	13.8	18.4	-4.57
Avery Bradley	71	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	15.4	14.6	0.75	13.7	18.2	-4.43
Courtney Lee	32	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	-1	9	14.4	15.5	-1.08	17.9	13.5	4.45
Vitor Faverani	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.01	10	-3	13	13.6	15.8	-2.25	15.8	14.4	1.36
Phil Pressey	6	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	15	-23	16.3	15.1	1.26	18.7	14.5	4.17
Gerald Wallace	34	34	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	-0.04	-12	19	-31	15.5	15.0	0.53	16.9	13.7	3.20
Kris Humphries	31	31	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	-0.02	-16	23	-39	15.6	14.9	0.72	15.7	14.4	1.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	33	33	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.00	11	-18	29	16.4	14.0	2.41	15.8	14.8	1.05
Mike Scott	27	27	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.03	11	-18	29	17.8	13.7	4.13	16.7	14.5	2.20
Cartier Martin	26	26	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.01	9	-16	25	18.2	13.6	4.54	16.7	14.6	2.11
Pero Antic	27	28	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-8	9	17.1	14.0	3.15	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Shelvin Mack	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	18.0	13.9	4.15	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Jeff Teague	72	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	0	-7	13.9	17.8	-3.93	15.3	14.7	0.59
Al Horford	71	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.0	17.1	-3.08	15.3	14.9	0.37
DeMarre Carroll	69	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	9	-25	13.7	17.7	-4.03	14.8	16.1	-1.38
Paul Millsap	67	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.24	-18	11	-29	13.6	17.8	-4.18	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Kyle Korver	66	66	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.30	-17	10	-27	13.9	16.8	-2.89	14.8	16.0	-1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.01,0	92.8%
DAL 91, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.08,0	92.0%
HOU 86, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.37,0.15,0.02,0	91.8%