NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	5.6 [722]		MVP	DeJuan Blair (DAL): +15.4%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.5 [783]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (ORL): -24.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeJuan Blair	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.05	0.02	9	75%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.02	12	69%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gal Mekel	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	19	47%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	12	66%	0.10	1	-0.00	14	93%	0.07
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	12	67%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	9	-0.28	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	27.4	15.4	26.5	2.5	38.5	134.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.9%

ORL -10.8%

DAL +0.9%

DAL +28.9%

ORL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ORL	NBA	DAL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.5	15.1	109.1	103.1	105.2
season	15.3	15.3		109.0	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	14.5	15.7	15.9	14.8
ORL	15.0	15.5	15.6	12.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.09	18	-10	28	13.9	15.9	-1.93	14.3	14.8	-0.43
Monta Ellis	85	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	1	6	14.6	16.4	-1.77	14.1	17.2	-3.12
Shawn Marion	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.27	2	6	-4	14.4	15.9	-1.47	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Dirk Nowitzki	69	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	9	-10	15.6	13.1	2.45	14.2	15.3	-1.14
Jose Calderon	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	9	-10	15.3	14.0	1.23	13.3	17.0	-3.71
Vince Carter	47	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	-3	14	14.3	15.3	-1.07	14.8	14.3	0.52
Jae Crowder	34	31	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	0	8	15.3	14.6	0.69	16.8	13.5	3.37
Gal Mekel	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	2	4	14.2	15.1	-0.91	17.5	13.6	3.87
Samuel Dalembert	47	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.18	-10	18	-28	15.9	13.9	1.93	14.8	14.3	0.43

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-8	8	16.9	14.2	2.70	16.1	14.6	1.45
Solomon Jones	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	14.4	14.6	-0.16	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Jason Maxiell	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-7	6	15.8	13.4	2.38	14.3	15.3	-1.08
Jameer Nelson	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	14.8	14.3	0.47	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Nikola Vucevic	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	13.6	17.2	-3.56	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Arron Afflalo	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-6	4	14.1	16.3	-2.20	14.9	14.7	0.22
Andrew Nicholson	29	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	16.9	13.6	3.30	14.7	14.9	-0.14
E'Twaun Moore	58	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-5	2	13.8	15.6	-1.74	15.3	14.1	1.15
Maurice Harkless	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	14.0	15.9	-1.88	14.9	14.7	0.22
Victor Oladipo	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	2	-12	14.8	14.3	0.50	14.7	15.0	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, MIL 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DAL 101, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.0%
NYK 99, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%