NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	8.0 [259]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +22.4%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	2.9 [204]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -25.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	20	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	13	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	15	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Byron Mullens	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	10	35%	-0.17	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.08
Chris Paul	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.26	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	19	45%	-0.09	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.17,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.18	0.04	19	65%	0.33	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.00	8	75%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	8	69%	0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	16	27%	-0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	29.3	15.7	24.7	1.8	41.0	136.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +85.0%

ORL +0.1%

LAC -17.5%

LAC -6.2%

LAC -11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.1	15.1	90.0	99.0	105.2
season	14.3	15.3		111.0	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		105.9	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.2	14.8	12.5	16.2	13.9
ORL	14.0	15.2	17.5	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	68	68	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-15	22	12.4	17.2	-4.79	15.5	14.0	1.48
Jared Dudley	63	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-7	6	13.2	15.1	-1.96	15.6	13.9	1.73
Willie Green	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-3	-2	17.0	12.8	4.24	12.4	15.9	-3.55
Byron Mullens	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	1	-10	17.9	12.8	5.08	14.1	15.3	-1.15
Darren Collison	29	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	1	-10	16.6	12.8	3.83	13.3	15.7	-2.41
Blake Griffin	85	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-10	12	13.0	18.9	-5.92	15.8	11.0	4.83
DeAndre Jordan	89	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.0	13.0	1.01	15.2	13.6	1.59
Chris Paul	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-4	0	12.8	17.0	-4.14	15.6	13.4	2.21
Jamal Crawford	44	43	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.36	-18	10	-28	15.0	13.1	1.92	13.7	16.1	-2.39

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	55	56	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.21	21	-13	34	14.0	16.4	-2.36	14.4	13.2	1.20
Jameer Nelson	74	75	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-4	16	15.1	15.0	0.01	14.0	13.6	0.45
Andrew Nicholson	46	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	2	4	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.0	12.0	4.00
Arron Afflalo	77	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	15.1	14.8	0.36	13.1	16.2	-3.01
Nikola Vucevic	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	2	4	15.2	14.3	0.88	12.9	18.6	-5.75
Kyle O'Quinn	16	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	6	-4	14.3	15.2	-0.88	18.6	12.9	5.75
Victor Oladipo	46	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.18	3	5	-2	14.7	15.4	-0.66	13.9	13.9	0.07
Jason Maxiell	50	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	10	-12	15.6	14.5	1.15	12.3	15.5	-3.24
Maurice Harkless	48	49	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	22	-36	15.5	14.6	0.91	13.9	13.9	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, BKN 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.33,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.34,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.83,1	90.8%
LAL 103, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.58,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,1	89.5%
PHI 98, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.8,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.46,0.31,0.42,1	89.3%