inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 113 Excitement4.2 [985] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +13.9%
Denver Nuggets 98 Comeback1.3 [430] LVPRandy Foye (DEN): -9.2%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.150.010.011372%0.161-0.023100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0.130,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.00-0.011475%0.162-0.0200%0.00
Damian Lillard0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.01-0.011362%0.141-0.023100%0.01
Dorell Wright0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.000.034100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Victor Claver0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.00-0.04617%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Mo Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011341%-0.031-0.001100%0.01
Robin Lopez-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0400.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.010.022645%-0.021-0.02425%-0.02
Joel Freeland-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03728%-0.021-0.02475%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.021652%0.0400.00862%-0.03
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.06477%0.0300.00540%-0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.000.08-0.020.051763%0.053-0.044100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.01750%0.0000.00862%-0.01
Anthony Randolph0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01636%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00844%-0.0100.0020%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.0260%-0.0700.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.130.00-0.051318%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.011026%-0.071-0.02367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.330.615.426.62.430.2129.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +49.8%
POR +4.3%
DEN -1.5%
DEN -1.9%
DEN -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game15.614.215.1116.5102.1105.2
season15.114.0109.6104.5
opponent14.914.8106.4106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR14.314.415.618.515.6
DEN17.012.713.214.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge73740.500.000.50-0.1522-72914.818.0-3.1614.912.02.82
Damian Lillard67690.480.020.46-0.0518-32115.216.6-1.4214.912.42.57
Wesley Matthews71730.440.060.38-0.1219-42315.416.3-0.9914.613.11.49
Nicolas Batum72710.310.190.13-0.131501514.618.6-3.9615.011.93.11
Joel Freeland49450.310.190.12-0.04123915.915.30.6513.215.2-2.00
Mo Williams53510.240.26-0.010.24015-1516.414.61.8012.616.0-3.44
Robin Lopez41450.180.32-0.130.04510-514.916.2-1.2816.012.63.39
Dorell Wright22210.030.47-0.450.23-722-2918.114.93.2011.714.9-3.27
Thomas Robinson25230.000.50-0.490.27-924-3317.515.02.5611.715.0-3.26
Allen Crabbe320.000.50-0.500.00015-1519.715.54.1811.514.3-2.78
Will Barton320.000.50-0.500.00015-1519.715.54.1811.514.3-2.78
Victor Claver320.000.50-0.500.00015-1519.715.54.1811.514.3-2.78
Meyers Leonard320.000.50-0.500.00015-1519.715.54.1811.514.3-2.78

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov4343-0.03-0.470.44-0.3812-273913.614.7-1.0716.115.20.89
Anthony Randolph3031-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-10515.913.52.4513.816.5-2.66
Evan Fournier3033-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-11713.114.7-1.6316.115.40.67
JJ Hickson4245-0.15-0.350.200.17-11-4-714.813.81.0115.815.50.34
Nate Robinson5758-0.17-0.330.15-0.170-151513.015.9-2.9116.813.92.88
Darrell Arthur2932-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-13-2-1113.614.5-0.9616.915.01.92
Andre Miller3433-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-11712.914.9-2.0217.014.92.05
JaVale McGee2524-0.28-0.22-0.050.05-11-4-716.813.33.4914.915.9-0.99
Kenneth Faried5249-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-8113.614.9-1.2714.816.5-1.66
Randy Foye6565-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-172-1915.212.32.9014.817.2-2.34
Ty Lawson7372-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-150-1514.513.31.2015.216.9-1.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 116, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
MIA 108, ATL 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
CHI 95, UTA 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%