inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 108 Excitement3.7 [1051] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +17.3%
Atlanta Hawks 90 Comeback1.2 [581] LVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): -11.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.230.010.061196%0.1700.002100%0.01
Rodney McGruder0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.160.010.065118%0.1100.001100%0.00
Luke Babbitt0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.02875%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Okaro White0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.01-0.00-0.03350%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Willie Reed0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.010.04875%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.031646%0.042-0.025100%0.02
Wayne Ellington0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.071139%0.012-0.0010%-0.02
Josh Richardson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.0850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.09-0.01-0.071937%0.022-0.0400%0.00
James Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02420%-0.052-0.022100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside-0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.150.00-0.03911%-0.072-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.01966%0.082-0.021464%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.042100%0.0500.00475%-0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.02-0.04537%0.0400.00667%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamar Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.00956%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.000.05753%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00750%-0.002-0.022100%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011339%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.00520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.00-0.041023%-0.041-0.02250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00436%-0.012-0.0530%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.531.815.023.31.726.2127.4
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.2%
ATL -0.0%
MIA +17.5%
ATL -0.7%
MIA +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAATLNBAMIAATLNBA
this game15.313.614.8106.991.8107.7
season15.414.4106.7104.2
opponent14.914.5104.6105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.313.917.317.215.3
ATL14.413.313.313.513.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Waiters64620.500.000.50-0.3830-124215.914.21.7314.012.91.13
Hassan Whiteside51490.360.140.22-0.2320-22216.214.41.8413.513.7-0.20
Tyler Johnson55540.300.200.10-0.171621413.916.9-2.9913.913.20.69
Goran Dragic66610.290.210.070.20315-1214.616.5-1.9213.314.2-0.98
Luke Babbitt27260.250.25-0.01-0.10126617.914.33.5513.213.8-0.60
Wayne Ellington46460.150.35-0.200.21-220-2215.015.6-0.6113.713.60.16
Okaro White37360.140.36-0.210.08216-1415.515.20.3113.713.60.10
Willie Reed50490.140.36-0.220.20-220-2214.416.2-1.8413.713.50.20
Rodney McGruder46450.140.36-0.22-0.1299016.814.12.7112.914.3-1.42
Josh Richardson26260.120.38-0.260.18-220-2216.314.91.3214.013.50.55
James Johnson37360.110.39-0.28-0.01414-1013.216.5-3.3113.913.50.41

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kris Humphries1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-263413.413.7-0.3317.514.82.69
DeAndre' Bembry1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-263413.413.7-0.3317.514.82.69
Lamar Patterson1919-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-263413.413.7-0.3317.514.82.69
Taurean Prince3234-0.09-0.410.330.12-7-11413.613.7-0.1015.815.00.81
Mike Dunleavy3334-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-222614.213.30.9213.516.2-2.69
Ersan Ilyasova3335-0.12-0.380.25-0.06-2-161414.013.50.5114.915.5-0.66
Mike Muscala4141-0.16-0.340.180.16-11-7-413.913.50.3813.216.7-3.44
Malcolm Delaney4953-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-10213.413.9-0.4514.016.7-2.75
Thabo Sefolosha4342-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-1-1614.512.91.5714.615.7-1.10
Dwight Howard4648-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-6-613.114.1-1.0716.714.02.71
Paul Millsap5759-0.38-0.12-0.250.18-191-2013.813.40.4615.115.5-0.45
Tim Hardaway Jr.5254-0.38-0.12-0.260.24-213-2413.214.1-0.8615.614.90.70
Kent Bazemore4748-0.45-0.05-0.400.16-213-2413.313.9-0.5616.114.61.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 112, CLE 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
SAC 116, MIL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
NJN 81, CHH 680.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,096.1%