NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	3.0 [1209]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +19.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	106		Comeback	1.2 [917]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -4.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Novak	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	9	94%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	25	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	16	40%	-0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.03	-0.04	15	70%	0.20	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.01	16	75%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	86%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	83%	0.08	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	9	28%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	26.4	15.0	25.1	2.3	27.3	122.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.4%

CHA +4.8%

CHA +2.0%

NYK -0.0%

CHA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.7	15.4	110.5	121.8	104.1
season	16.2	15.6		107.9	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	17.2	17.6	14.1	16.6
CHA	15.9	17.9	16.7	16.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-7	3	18.9	16.4	2.48	13.6	17.0	-3.42
Pablo Prigioni	76	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	16.4	17.6	-1.15	17.4	12.5	4.89
Jason Kidd	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	3	-17	18.6	15.0	3.63	14.8	18.2	-3.32
James White	77	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-7	3	16.0	21.6	-5.56	16.7	16.7	-0.00
Steve Novak	73	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-5	-1	16.2	18.7	-2.49	17.0	15.1	1.89
Iman Shumpert	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	16.6	16.7	-0.17	16.9	15.4	1.50
Chris Copeland	84	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	16.5	21.0	-4.52	16.8	13.0	3.80

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.06	18	-7	25	16.7	17.1	-0.45	16.6	16.0	0.64
Gerald Henderson	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.17	24	-13	37	17.0	15.7	1.25	16.9	15.2	1.64
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	53	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-3	17	16.7	16.8	-0.12	17.1	15.7	1.44
Kemba Walker	53	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	-9	29	17.3	15.8	1.51	17.4	15.2	2.17
Josh McRoberts	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	-10	31	16.8	16.4	0.47	16.6	16.5	0.11
Jeff Adrien	22	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	21	-31	16.4	16.8	-0.47	16.5	16.6	-0.11
Jannero Pargo	34	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.8	17.3	-1.51	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Jeff Taylor	34	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	20	-29	15.8	17.3	-1.51	15.2	17.4	-2.17
Ben Gordon	17	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	18	-25	17.6	16.5	1.16	16.2	16.7	-0.50
Tyrus Thomas	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	18	-25	17.1	16.7	0.45	16.0	16.6	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 74, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CHA 85, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%