NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	7.8 [277]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +34.3%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.6 [756]		LVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): -20.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.34	0.10	0.27	0.02	14	74%	0.46	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	13	61%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Tony Allen	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Wroten	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	10	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.14
Zach Randolph	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	13	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.10	0.02	15	65%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.06
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.04
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	65%	0.10	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	3	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	7	28%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2	-0.20	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	13	23%	-0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	31.2	15.4	25.5	2.4	42.0	143.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +52.7%

MEM +0.3%

SAC -6.5%

MEM +4.6%

SAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.4	91.8	92.6	104.1
season	16.5	15.0		102.9	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.4	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	13.7	14.5	14.2	14.6
SAC	16.0	14.0	16.2	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	49	47	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.56	7	-5	12	12.7	16.5	-3.72	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Tayshaun Prince	58	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	15.6	13.0	2.60	15.8	15.4	0.40
Marc Gasol	68	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	-2	6	15.1	13.4	1.66	15.2	16.6	-1.49
Mike Conley	74	72	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	4	-6	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.1	14.0	2.02
Tony Allen	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	0	2	15.5	12.3	3.22	15.9	15.0	0.89
Ed Davis	37	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	13.2	15.4	-2.29	16.6	14.9	1.69
Keyon Dooling	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	-2	6	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Tony Wroten	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	12.3	14.9	-2.62	13.5	15.9	-2.48
Jon Leuer	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	4	-6	14.3	14.6	-0.34	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Zach Randolph	70	69	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.3	12.7	2.60	16.1	14.2	1.90
Austin Daye	12	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.11	-9	11	-20	11.2	15.1	-3.89	11.4	16.2	-4.79

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	59	59	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.09	11	-13	24	15.1	16.5	-1.37	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Toney Douglas	50	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.47	14	-16	30	14.9	16.4	-1.44	13.9	15.4	-1.45
Cole Aldrich	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-4	6	15.4	15.7	-0.31	12.1	16.0	-3.81
Jason Thompson	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	8	-18	16.7	15.0	1.74	15.7	13.9	1.82
Tyreke Evans	45	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	9	-20	16.4	14.9	1.54	16.4	12.9	3.50
Jimmer Fredette	31	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.59	8	-10	18	14.5	16.1	-1.61	12.8	15.5	-2.76
John Salmons	36	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	11	-24	17.1	14.7	2.41	15.2	14.2	0.99
Marcus Thornton	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-6	10	15.0	16.9	-1.96	14.0	15.8	-1.84
DeMarcus Cousins	56	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	3	-8	15.9	15.2	0.69	15.6	13.0	2.60
Isaiah Thomas	61	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	8	-18	15.6	15.5	0.08	14.8	14.1	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.6%
DAL 113, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.27,0	91.5%
IND 97, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0	91.4%