NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	6.0 [580]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +19.0%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.1 [1225]		LVP	Dahntay Jones (ATL): -14.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Jenkins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17	0.17	-0.00	-0.01	9	96%	0.28	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	10	35%	-0.07	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	21	62%	0.27	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	10	77%	0.22	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	40%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	12	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	31.7	15.0	27.2	2.4	37.5	140.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +34.5%

SAS +1.1%

SAS +9.7%

SAS +5.6%

ATL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAS	NBA	ATL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.5	15.4	98.0	101.0	104.1
season	15.1	15.2		102.6	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.5		99.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	15.2	14.1	13.7	14.7
SAS	13.3	14.8	15.9	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	51	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.37	10	-12	22	14.3	15.2	-0.94	14.8	14.2	0.57
Johan Petro	63	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-1	0	14.6	15.1	-0.53	14.5	14.5	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	0	-2	14.9	14.6	0.39	14.9	14.0	0.86
John Jenkins	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.5	15.2	-0.72	14.4	14.6	-0.24
Jeff Teague	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	10	-22	15.2	14.3	0.94	14.5	14.5	0.02
Ivan Johnson	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	1	-4	15.0	14.3	0.74	13.7	15.9	-2.20
Mike Scott	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.0	13.0	1.92
Dahntay Jones	89	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	4	-10	14.8	14.0	0.83	14.3	16.0	-1.70

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	68	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-13	28	13.7	16.1	-2.40	15.2	13.8	1.43
Cory Joseph	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	0	2	14.6	14.3	0.29	15.0	14.2	0.78
Kawhi Leonard	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	3	-4	14.0	16.9	-2.95	14.4	16.3	-1.87
Nando De Colo	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	-5	12	14.3	14.6	-0.25	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Tiago Splitter	38	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	3	-4	12.3	15.8	-3.52	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Danny Green	41	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	7	-12	13.7	15.0	-1.27	14.9	14.7	0.21
Matt Bonner	31	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-3	8	14.8	14.3	0.45	14.8	14.7	0.11
Stephen Jackson	37	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	1	0	15.9	13.6	2.29	15.1	14.5	0.54
Gary Neal	26	27	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	0	2	15.1	14.2	0.88	14.6	14.8	-0.26
DeJuan Blair	42	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.37	-11	13	-24	16.9	12.7	4.18	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Boris Diaw	17	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.8	14.2	1.57	15.3	14.6	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.99,0.94,1,1	93.8%
DET 90, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 79, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.7%